AZ Alkmaar at NAC Breda

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

50.6%22.9%26.5%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawNAC Breda Win
1.83Projected Goals 1.26
2Final Score 1

NAC Breda

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Ajax+160
W 0-1 vs Heracles Almelo-300
W 2-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+160
L 2-1 vs Willem II-175
L 2-3 at Feyenoord+460
NAC Breda
Money Line
W 2-0 at Sparta Rotterdam+315
W 0-1 vs Almere City-135
T 2-2 at Willem II+245
L 3-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+900
L 0-2 at Heracles Almelo+235

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+156+111+105+108+104+108+111+118.0
NAC Breda+171+256+250+250+254+250+256+266.9
Draw+256+251+230+255+247+255+255+272.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+105----+100+100+118.0
NAC Breda+250----+280+280+266.9
Draw+260----+250+250+272.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +101 to -104
NAC Breda ML moved from +263 to +256

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
NAC Breda: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
NAC Breda: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +105 to -105
No Steam Moves On NAC Breda ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o2½-112o2½-108o2½-105o2½-106o2½-105o2½-105o2½+104
Underu2½+111u2½-104u2½-112u2½-115u2½-114u2½-115u2½-104u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes60.2%
 
No39.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.54%
Exactly 221.71%
Exactly 417.29%
Exactly 65.51%
Exactly 80.94%
 
Exactly 114.04%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 510.69%
Exactly 72.43%
Exactly 90.32%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 016.09%
Exactly 129.40%
Exactly 226.85%
Exactly 316.35%
Exactly 47.47%
Exactly 52.73%
Exactly 60.83%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 028.23%
Exactly 135.70%
Exactly 222.58%
Exactly 39.52%
Exactly 43.01%
Exactly 50.76%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.90%
Exactly 224.48%
Exactly 44.18%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.21%
Exactly 311.68%
Exactly 51.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 042.92%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 215.35%
Exactly 34.33%
Exactly 40.92%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 055.68%
Exactly 132.60%
Exactly 29.55%
Exactly 31.86%
Exactly 40.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals28.15%
Wins by 3+ goals12.76%
Wins by 4+ goals4.78%
Wins by 5+ goals1.49%
NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals10.97%
Wins by 3+ goals3.59%
Wins by 4+ goals0.95%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal22.38%
Wins by 2 goals15.39%
Wins by 3 goals7.98%
Wins by 4 goals3.29%
Wins by 5 goals1.12%
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal15.49%
Wins by 2 goals7.38%
Wins by 3 goals2.65%
Wins by 4 goals0.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.46%4.54%
1.581.41%18.59%
2.559.70%40.30%
3.537.33%62.67%
4.520.04%79.96%
5.59.34%90.66%
6.53.83%96.17%
7.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.91%16.09%
1.554.51%45.49%
2.527.66%72.34%
3.511.31%88.69%
4.53.84%96.16%
5.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.77%28.23%
1.536.07%63.93%
2.513.49%86.51%
3.53.97%96.03%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.10%23.90%
1.541.90%58.10%
2.517.41%82.59%
3.55.73%94.27%
4.51.55%98.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
Score012345
0
4.54%
5.75%
3.63%
1.53%
0.48%
0.12%
1
8.30%
10.50%
6.64%
2.80%
0.88%
0.22%
2
7.58%
9.59%
6.06%
2.56%
0.81%
0.20%
3
4.62%
5.84%
3.69%
1.56%
0.49%
0.12%
4
2.11%
2.67%
1.69%
0.71%
0.22%
0.06%
5
0.77%
0.97%
0.62%
0.26%
0.08%
0.02%
AZ Alkmaar
1-08.30%
2-07.58%
2-19.59%
3-04.62%
3-15.84%
3-23.69%
4-02.11%
4-12.67%
4-21.69%
4-30.71%
5-00.77%
5-10.97%
5-20.62%
5-30.26%
Draw
0-04.54%
1-110.50%
2-26.06%
3-31.56%
4-40.22%
NAC Breda
0-15.75%
0-23.63%
1-26.64%
0-31.53%
1-32.80%
2-32.56%
0-40.48%
1-40.88%
2-40.81%
3-40.49%
0-50.12%
1-50.22%
2-50.20%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
Score01234
0
23.90%
13.99%
4.10%
0.80%
0.12%
1
20.21%
11.84%
3.47%
0.68%
0.10%
2
8.55%
5.01%
1.47%
0.29%
0.04%
3
2.41%
1.41%
0.41%
0.08%
0.01%
4
0.51%
0.30%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
AZ Alkmaar
1-020.21%
2-08.55%
2-15.01%
3-02.41%
3-11.41%
3-20.41%
4-00.51%
4-10.30%
Draw
0-023.90%
1-111.84%
2-21.47%
NAC Breda
0-113.99%
0-24.10%
1-23.47%
0-30.80%
1-30.68%
2-30.29%
0-40.12%