Almere City at Ajax

Updated

Almere City

5.0%11.1%83.8%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.59Projected Goals 2.87
0Final Score 3

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Almere City
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Utrecht+360
L 0-1 at NAC Breda+390
L 0-3 at Go Ahead Eagles+600
L 4-1 vs Feyenoord+770
L 0-2 at RKC Waalwijk+160
Ajax
Money Line
L 1-2 at AZ Alkmaar+160
T 2-2 vs Utrecht-225
W 2-1 at NEC Nijmegen-140
W 0-2 vs Zwolle-875
T 2-2 at Twente+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almere City+3154+1302+1300+1300+1343+1300+1343+1400.0
Ajax-1066-546-600-650-668-650-546-423.3
Draw+952+711+625+650+701+650+711+703.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almere City+1900----+1500+1500+1400.0
Ajax-850-----700-700-423.3
Draw+865----+775+775+703.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almere City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almere City: 0.0%
Ajax: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Almere City: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almere City: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almere City ML moved from +1316 to +1285
Ajax ML moved from -652 to -668

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almere City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almere City: 0.0%
Ajax: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Almere City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almere City: 30.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almere City ML moved from +1675 to +1500
Ajax ML moved from -850 to -975

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+102o3½-106o3½-105o3½-109o3½-104o3½-109o3½-104o3½+101
Underu3½-120u3½-110u3½-115u3½-111u3½-116u3½-111u3½-110u3½-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+101
Under-----u3½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-118 to u3¼-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.9%
 
No58.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.14%
Exactly 218.80%
Exactly 418.77%
Exactly 67.50%
Exactly 81.60%
Exactly 100.21%
 
Exactly 110.86%
Exactly 321.69%
Exactly 513.00%
Exactly 73.71%
Exactly 90.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Almere City
Exactly 055.56%
Exactly 132.65%
Exactly 29.59%
Exactly 31.88%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 05.65%
Exactly 116.23%
Exactly 223.32%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 416.05%
Exactly 59.23%
Exactly 64.42%
Exactly 71.81%
Exactly 80.65%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.14%
Exactly 225.86%
Exactly 45.54%
Exactly 60.47%
 
Exactly 132.27%
Exactly 313.82%
Exactly 51.77%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almere City
Exactly 076.18%
Exactly 120.73%
Exactly 22.82%
Exactly 30.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 026.43%
Exactly 135.17%
Exactly 223.40%
Exactly 310.38%
Exactly 43.45%
Exactly 50.92%
Exactly 60.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Almere City
Wins by 2+ goals1.08%
Wins by 3+ goals0.17%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals64.66%
Wins by 3+ goals42.68%
Wins by 4+ goals24.05%
Wins by 5+ goals11.66%
Wins by 6+ goals4.90%
Wins by 7+ goals1.79%
Wins by 8+ goals0.55%
Wins by 9+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Almere City
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Almere City
Wins by 1 goal3.90%
Wins by 2 goals0.91%
Wins by 3 goals0.15%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal19.11%
Wins by 2 goals21.98%
Wins by 3 goals18.63%
Wins by 4 goals12.39%
Wins by 5 goals6.76%
Wins by 6 goals3.11%
Wins by 7 goals1.24%
Wins by 8 goals0.43%
Wins by 9 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.86%3.14%
1.586.00%14.00%
2.567.20%32.80%
3.545.50%54.50%
4.526.73%73.27%
5.513.73%86.27%
6.56.24%93.76%
7.52.53%97.47%

Total Goals Almere City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.544.44%55.56%
1.511.79%88.21%
2.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.35%5.65%
1.578.12%21.88%
2.554.80%45.20%
3.532.45%67.55%
4.516.40%83.60%
5.57.17%92.83%
6.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.86%20.14%
1.547.59%52.41%
2.521.73%78.27%
3.57.92%92.08%
4.52.38%97.62%

Score Props

Correct Score

Almere City
Ajax
Score012345
0
3.14%
9.02%
12.96%
12.41%
8.92%
5.13%
1
1.84%
5.30%
7.62%
7.30%
5.24%
3.01%
2
0.54%
1.56%
2.24%
2.14%
1.54%
0.89%
3
0.11%
0.31%
0.44%
0.42%
0.30%
0.17%
Almere City
1-01.84%
2-00.54%
2-11.56%
3-00.11%
3-10.31%
3-20.44%
Draw
0-03.14%
1-15.30%
2-22.24%
3-30.42%
Ajax
0-19.02%
0-212.96%
1-27.62%
0-312.41%
1-37.30%
2-32.14%
0-48.92%
1-45.24%
2-41.54%
3-40.30%
0-55.13%
1-53.01%
2-50.89%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Almere City
Ajax
Score0123456
0
20.14%
26.79%
17.82%
7.91%
2.63%
0.70%
0.16%
1
5.48%
7.29%
4.85%
2.15%
0.72%
0.19%
0.04%
2
0.75%
0.99%
0.66%
0.29%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Almere City
1-05.48%
2-00.75%
2-10.99%
Draw
0-020.14%
1-17.29%
2-20.66%
Ajax
0-126.79%
0-217.82%
1-24.85%
0-37.91%
1-32.15%
2-30.29%
0-42.63%
1-40.72%
0-50.70%
1-50.19%
0-60.16%
Groningen at Twente
AZ Alkmaar at NAC Breda