NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 24, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Detroit Lions (9-1)
Indianapolis Colts (5-6)
Jared Goff
Anthony Richardson
81.3%
18.7%
-360
+305
-360
+315
-7-108
+7+100
-7-110
+7½-120
29.9
17.6
47.5
o50-110
u50½-108
o50-110
u50½-110
Kansas City Chiefs (9-1)
Carolina Panthers (3-7)
Patrick Mahomes
Bryce Young
89.6%
10.4%
-600
+480
-640
+510
-10½-105
+11-110
-10½-108
+11-110
32.2
11.8
44.0
o43-105
u43-108
o43-110
u43-110
Minnesota Vikings (8-2)
Chicago Bears (4-6)
Sam Darnold
Caleb Williams
72.0%
28.0%
-173
+160
-180
+160
-3½+105
+3½-115
-3-110
+3½-116
23.8
16.8
40.6
o39-108
u39½-110
o39-110
u39½-110
Dallas Cowboys (3-7)
Washington Commanders (7-4)
Cooper Rush
Jayden Daniels
18.9%
81.1%
+445
-560
+475
-550
+10½-108
-10½-108
+11-108
-10½-110
17.7
29.8
47.5
o45-108
u45-107
o45-110
u45-110
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6)
New York Giants (2-8)
Baker Mayfield
Tommy DeVito
65.7%
34.3%
-265
+240
-260
+230
-6-108
+6-108
-6-108
+6-105
23.7
19.5
43.2
o40½-108
u40½-108
o40½-110
u41-110
New England Patriots (3-8)
Miami Dolphins (4-6)
Drake Maye
Tua Tagovailoa
18.3%
81.7%
+300
-355
+310
-350
+7½-108
-7-115
+7+102
-7-110
14.9
27.2
42.1
o46½-107
u46½-108
o46-110
u46½-110
Tennessee Titans (2-8)
Houston Texans (7-4)
Will Levis
C.J. Stroud
18.6%
81.4%
+315
-385
+340
-380
+7½-108
-9+105
+8-110
-7½-108
15.1
27.2
42.3
o40½-108
u40½-108
o40-110
u40½-110
Denver Broncos (6-5)
Las Vegas Raiders (2-8)
Bo Nix
Gardner Minshew II
71.6%
28.4%
-240
+215
-250
+220
-5-110
+5½-108
-5-110
+6-110
22.8
15.7
38.5
o41-110
u41½-108
o41-110
u42-110
Arizona Cardinals (6-4)
Seattle Seahawks (5-5)
Kyler Murray
Geno Smith
50.8%
49.2%
-105
-115
-108
-105
+0-108
+0-107
+0-108
+1-110
24.0
23.6
47.6
o47½-108
u47½-108
o47-110
u47½-110
San Francisco 49ers (5-5)
Green Bay Packers (7-3)
Brandon Allen
Jordan Love
36.3%
63.7%
+210
-245
+220
-240
+5½-107
-5½-108
+6-108
-5½-110
20.8
24.3
45.1
o44-108
u45-110
o44½-110
u44½-110
Philadelphia Eagles (8-2)
Los Angeles Rams (5-5)
Jalen Hurts
Matthew Stafford
63.0%
37.0%
-150
+133
-145
+130
-3+102
+2½+100
-3+100
+3-110
25.0
21.4
46.4
o49-108
u49-108
o49-110
u49-110
Games for Nov 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Washington Commanders
New York Giants
53.2%
46.8%
-155
+140
-155
+135
-3-105
+3-108
-3-110
+3-105
7
14
-0.89968-0.88724-0.75937
Buffalo Bills
New England Patriots
78.9%
21.1%
-385
+320
-370
+335
-8+100
+8-110
-7½-110
+8-110
25
29
-1.46646-1.48713-1.55481
Detroit Lions
Baltimore Ravens
42.3%
57.7%
+147
-160
+140
-155
+3-105
-3-108
+3-105
-3-110
6
38
-0.50556-0.52206-0.54979
Cleveland Browns
Indianapolis Colts
58.7%
41.3%
-180
+160
-175
+165
-3½-105
+3½-108
-3½-105
+3½-110
39
38
-0.46893-0.46561-0.53276
Las Vegas Raiders
Chicago Bears
64.6%
35.4%
-135
+120
-130
+120
-2-108
+2½-105
-2-110
+2½-110
12
30
-0.81706-0.80802-1.03727
Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
37.7%
62.3%
+130
-145
+135
-145
+3-108
-3+105
+3-110
-2½-110
16
13
-0.85918-0.87165-0.97570
Jacksonville Jaguars
New Orleans Saints
51.2%
48.8%
+135
-140
+120
-138
+2½+100
-2½-108
+2½-110
-2-110
31
24
-0.86325-0.82225-0.66918
Dallas Cowboys
Los Angeles Chargers
51.0%
49.0%
-125
+110
-120
+106
-1½-110
+2-108
-1-110
+1½-110
20
17
-0.61904-0.63656-0.67317
New York Giants
Buffalo Bills
10.4%
89.6%
+725
-1100
+940
-1100
+15½-108
-15-103
+16-110
-15-110
9
14
-0.12419-0.09974-0.11023
Philadelphia Eagles
New York Jets
71.3%
28.7%
-300
+255
-290
+260
-6½-118
+6½+102
-6½-110
+6½-101
14
20
-1.29814-1.30206-1.24935
Arizona Cardinals
Los Angeles Rams
18.4%
81.6%
+290
-340
+285
-335
+7½-110
-7-108
+7-105
-7-110
9
26
-0.28655-0.29063-0.20274
Detroit Lions
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
53.6%
46.4%
-155
+150
-157
+140
-3-108
+3-108
-3-110
+3½-119
20
6
-0.50566-0.52002-0.62396
New England Patriots
Las Vegas Raiders
40.4%
59.6%
+132
-150
+135
-150
+3-108
-3+103
+3-105
-3+100
17
21
-0.54139-0.53604-0.51772
Carolina Panthers
Miami Dolphins
20.2%
79.8%
+725
-1000
+775
-1050
+14-108
-14-105
+14-110
-14-110
21
42
-0.12517-0.11794-0.22562
Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville Jaguars
26.4%
73.6%
+175
-200
+173
-190
+4-110
-4-103
+4-110
-4-110
20
37
-0.43532-0.44410-0.30629
New Orleans Saints
Houston Texans
55.7%
44.3%
-131
+115
-126
+115
-2-108
+2-105
-2-110
+2-110
13
20
-0.79718-0.78785-0.81389
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks149-5 (0.643)0-0.61746 
Sportsbooks149-5 (0.643)0-0.62011 
DRatings149-5 (0.643)0-0.61109
0.00637
0.00901

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/18/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (9-1-0)14.22.80.099.7%77.9%66.9%43.3%27.6%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.23.80.0100.0%99.8%28.1%29.2%15.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (9-1-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%57.2%28.5%13.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (8-2-0)12.94.10.099.1%84.4%15.8%16.1%7.8%
5Minnesota Vikings (8-2-0)12.44.60.097.4%16.7%12.2%14.5%7.3%
6Green Bay Packers (7-3-0)11.25.80.087.7%5.4%3.6%10.0%5.1%
7Baltimore Ravens (7-4-0)10.76.30.090.8%30.5%1.1%10.4%4.6%
8Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2-0)11.85.20.096.1%69.0%8.5%10.1%3.8%
9Houston Texans (7-4-0)10.76.30.092.5%87.8%1.4%8.8%3.6%
10Los Angeles Chargers (7-3-0)11.25.80.093.6%11.6%3.7%7.3%3.0%
11Arizona Cardinals (6-4-0)10.26.80.069.0%62.2%0.7%5.2%2.3%
12Washington Commanders (7-4-0)10.86.20.083.1%15.6%0.7%3.1%1.2%
13Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.071.8%69.4%0.0%2.9%1.1%
14San Francisco 49ers (5-5-0)8.68.40.025.0%17.3%0.1%2.4%1.1%
15Miami Dolphins (4-6-0)8.09.00.022.1%0.2%0.0%1.9%0.7%
16Indianapolis Colts (5-6-0)8.58.50.038.1%11.9%0.0%1.6%0.6%
17Denver Broncos (6-5-0)9.17.90.056.7%0.3%0.0%1.9%0.6%
18Los Angeles Rams (5-5-0)8.09.00.013.7%8.8%0.0%0.6%0.3%
19Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6-0)8.28.80.029.1%25.2%0.0%0.9%0.3%
20Seattle Seahawks (5-5-0)8.09.00.016.9%11.7%0.0%0.8%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.7%0.5%0.0%0.3%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.06.3%4.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23New York Jets (3-8-0)5.511.50.00.7%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Tennessee Titans (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.3%0.0%0.1%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-6-0)5.611.40.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Cleveland Browns (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Dallas Cowboys (3-7-0)5.811.20.00.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Las Vegas Raiders (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Carolina Panthers (3-7-0)4.712.30.00.5%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Giants (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New England Patriots (3-8-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.