NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 28, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Bears (4-7)
Detroit Lions (10-1)
Caleb Williams
Jared Goff
11.9%
88.1%
+405
-500
+430
-480
+9½+100
-9½-108
+10-110
-9½-110
14.2
31.3
45.5
o47½-108
u47½-105
o47½-110
u48-110
New York Giants (2-9)
Dallas Cowboys (4-7)
Tommy DeVito
Cooper Rush
39.3%
60.7%
+170
-175
+165
-175
+3½+100
-3½-108
+3½-108
-3-120
20.5
23.7
44.2
o37½-108
u37½-108
o37-110
u37½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Miami Dolphins (5-6)
Green Bay Packers (8-3)
Tua Tagovailoa
Jordan Love
36.1%
63.9%
+160
-170
+165
-170
+3+105
-3½-103
+3½-110
-3½+100
21.0
24.6
45.6
o47½-105
u47½-108
o47½-110
u48-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco 49ers
Detroit Lions
71.5%
28.5%
-410
+345
-420
+370
-9½-109
+9½-105
-9-110
+9½-110
41
33
-0.24649-0.23383-0.33557
Seattle Seahawks
Indianapolis Colts
48.4%
51.6%
-145
+125
-144
+140
-3+101
+3-115
-2½-110
+3-110
28
16
-0.56016-0.53416-0.72594
Philadelphia Eagles
Atlanta Falcons
35.8%
64.2%
+155
-170
+160
-170
+3½-120
-3½+106
+3½-110
-3-120
32
6
-0.95763-0.96964-1.02778
Los Angeles Chargers
Washington Commanders
41.0%
59.0%
+115
-133
+120
-130
+2½-110
-1½-114
+2-110
-2-110
20
16
-0.80078-0.80802-0.89060
Arizona Cardinals
Tennessee Titans
40.2%
59.8%
+130
-140
+130
-145
+3-120
-2½-111
+3-120
-2½-110
38
13
-0.85085-0.85918-0.91006
Jacksonville Jaguars
Houston Texans
55.4%
44.6%
-175
+156
-165
+152
-3½-103
+3½-115
-3-120
+3½-110
21
37
-0.96664-0.94353-0.80793
New York Jets
Carolina Panthers
35.9%
64.1%
+165
-184
+165
-174
+3½-110
-3½-102
+3½-110
-3½+100
14
19
-0.45898-0.46639-0.44416
Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills
32.8%
67.2%
+235
-270
+240
-260
+6½-110
-6½-104
+6½-110
-6-110
23
16
-1.23681-1.23998-1.11615
Dallas Cowboys
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
30.0%
70.0%
+380
-445
+375
-430
+9-105
-9-110
+9½-110
-9-110
29
31
-0.22725-0.23071-0.35635
Kansas City Chiefs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
58.5%
41.5%
-160
+145
-155
+146
-3-107
+3-109
-3-106
+3-104
9
31
-0.91937-0.91442-0.87868
Buffalo Bills
Kansas City Chiefs
37.5%
62.5%
+145
-158
+140
-155
+3-110
-3-104
+3-110
-3+100
24
38
-0.51073-0.52206-0.46968
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Green Bay Packers
43.8%
56.2%
+160
-179
+165
-170
+3½-115
-3-119
+3½-115
-3-110
31
26
-0.98136-0.98152-0.82465
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
42.8%
57.2%
+120
-135
+130
-140
+3-125
-2½-110
+3-120
-2½-110
30
20
-0.81706-0.85085-0.84868
Cleveland Browns
Kansas City Chiefs
23.0%
77.0%
+325
-400
+348
-410
+8-105
-8-103
+8½-110
-8-110
17
22
-0.25783-0.24502-0.26120
Baltimore Ravens
Buffalo Bills
47.8%
52.2%
+122
-138
+122
-135
+2½-101
-2½-114
+2½+100
-2½-110
3
17
-0.57485-0.57893-0.65009
Los Angeles Rams
Green Bay Packers
38.7%
61.3%
+300
-360
+300
-350
+7-105
-7-105
+7-110
-7+100
18
32
-0.27720-0.27871-0.48921
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64762 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64587 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.60368
0.04394
0.04219

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (10-1-0)14.52.50.0100.0%79.7%67.6%46.2%29.7%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%99.6%31.5%33.2%16.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (10-1-0)14.03.00.099.9%94.9%63.4%28.3%11.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%97.3%17.5%18.7%10.4%
5Green Bay Packers (8-3-0)11.75.30.096.3%6.0%4.1%12.8%7.5%
6Minnesota Vikings (9-2-0)12.64.40.098.6%14.3%10.8%12.1%6.3%
7Baltimore Ravens (8-4-0)11.45.60.096.7%60.3%2.0%13.1%5.4%
8Los Angeles Chargers (7-4-0)10.66.40.088.0%4.9%0.8%6.4%2.7%
9Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3-0)11.06.00.093.7%39.3%2.3%5.7%2.0%
10Houston Texans (7-5-0)9.67.40.085.8%83.3%0.0%6.5%2.0%
11Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.072.0%67.2%0.0%2.7%1.1%
12Denver Broncos (7-5-0)9.67.40.067.7%0.2%0.0%2.6%1.0%
13Miami Dolphins (5-6-0)8.68.40.031.7%0.4%0.0%2.2%0.8%
14Arizona Cardinals (6-5-0)9.57.50.058.4%51.8%0.0%2.2%0.8%
15San Francisco 49ers (5-6-0)7.79.30.013.6%8.7%0.0%1.4%0.8%
16Seattle Seahawks (6-5-0)8.88.20.036.8%27.4%0.0%1.2%0.4%
17Indianapolis Colts (5-7-0)7.99.10.025.1%14.6%0.0%1.5%0.4%
18Washington Commanders (7-5-0)9.87.20.065.1%2.7%0.0%0.9%0.3%
19Los Angeles Rams (5-6-0)7.89.20.014.7%12.1%0.0%0.8%0.3%
20Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6-0)8.58.50.034.1%26.3%0.0%0.6%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.4%0.4%0.0%0.4%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.07.1%5.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23Tennessee Titans (3-8-0)5.511.50.02.1%1.7%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Dallas Cowboys (4-7-0)6.910.10.02.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-7-0)5.311.70.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Las Vegas Raiders (2-9-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Cleveland Browns (3-8-0)4.812.20.00.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Carolina Panthers (3-8-0)4.612.40.00.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.4%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30New York Giants (2-9-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New England Patriots (3-9-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New York Jets (3-8-0)5.111.90.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.