Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 18, 2025

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TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Santa Clara
Rio Ave 		34.5%
34.9%		30.6%
+120
+266
+145
+215
1.01
1.02		2.03
o2-133
u2¼-119

Boavista
SC Farense 		19.5%
55.7%		24.8%
+368
-114
+370
-120
0.85
1.62		2.47
o2¼-112
u2¼-106

Famalicao
Porto 		8.7%
76.0%		15.3%
+556
-202
+585
-215
0.71
2.47		3.18
o2½-132
u2¾-110

Moreirense
Sporting CP 		5.9%
81.0%		13.0%
+1437
-476
+1400
-455
0.57
2.63		3.20
o2¾+100
u2¾-108

Games for Apr 17, 2025
Games for Apr 19, 2025

Completed Games

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TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rio Ave
Moreirense		19.2%
55.8%		25.1%
+249
+127
+235
+135
2
0		-1.28964-1.25956-1.65250
AVS
Braga		7.9%
77.3%		14.8%
+691
-217
+775
-280
1
4		-0.41023-0.35525-0.25753
Arouca
Benfica		4.0%
85.8%		10.2%
+2059
-799
+1900
-800
2
2		-2.29372-2.24602-2.28681
SC Farense
Estrela		20.9%
53.3%		25.8%
+198
+155
+190
+165
1
0		-1.13613-1.11355-1.56681
Porto
Casa Pia AC		60.2%
17.0%		22.8%
-154
+471
-150
+450
1
0		-0.53816-0.55818-0.50775
Sporting CP
Santa Clara		63.6%
15.1%		21.3%
-180
+612
-180
+570
1
0		-0.48078-0.49238-0.45334
Nacional
Boavista		38.4%
33.2%		28.4%
+135
+218
+145
+205
1
0		-0.90560-0.94348-0.95750
Estoril
Famalicao		17.1%
60.5%		22.4%
+301
+100
+310
-105
0
3		-0.72606-0.71803-0.50198
Vitoria
Gil Vicente FC		49.0%
24.3%		26.8%
+135
+272
+110
+280
1
0		-0.86126-0.79248-0.71396
Braga
Sporting CP		13.9%
66.4%		19.7%
+711
-273
+750
-280
1
1		-1.64517-1.67857-1.62526
Boavista
Rio Ave		17.7%
58.5%		23.8%
+294
+106
+310
-110
2
0		-1.39987-1.46305-1.73415
Casa Pia AC
SC Farense		34.0%
35.8%		30.2%
+226
+142
+215
+145
0
0		-1.18853-1.17847-1.19730
Benfica
Porto		36.0%
35.7%		28.3%
+123
+242
+130
+220
4
1		-0.83223-0.88201-1.02290
Estrela
Nacional		27.2%
45.7%		27.0%
+286
+109
+295
+105
1
0		-1.39042-1.42122-1.30236
Moreirense
Gil Vicente FC		35.4%
34.5%		30.1%
+227
+151
+235
+150
1
0		-1.22598-1.25716-1.03914
Santa Clara
Vitoria		18.0%
58.5%		23.6%
+351
+100
+350
+100
0
2		-0.73255-0.74202-0.53661
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Season Prediction Results

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 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).