Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 15, 2025

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TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Braga
SC Farense 		59.5%
17.6%		22.9%
-111
+342
-120
+375
1.79
0.85		2.64
o2-145
u2¼-115

Santa Clara
Gil Vicente FC 		37.3%
33.1%		29.6%
+163
+205
+155
+205
1.11
1.03		2.14
o1¾-117
u1¾+105

AVS
Porto 		4.1%
85.5%		10.4%
+1100
-435
+1075
-420
0.51
2.90		3.41
o2¾-118
u2¾-102

Famalicao
Sporting CP 		6.6%
80.3%		13.0%
+840
-325
+885
-295
0.65
2.70		3.35
o2¾-115
u2¾-104

Games for Mar 14, 2025
Games for Mar 16, 2025

Completed Games

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TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rio Ave
Famalicao		17.0%
60.3%		22.7%
+374
+101
+390
-115
0
1		-0.71325-0.67590-0.50640
Vitoria
Boavista		56.7%
19.4%		24.0%
-150
+466
-135
+420
2
1		-0.56166-0.60547-0.56800
Sporting CP
Casa Pia AC		66.7%
13.2%		20.1%
-210
+615
-200
+535
3
1		-0.43606-0.45560-0.40533
Moreirense
Santa Clara		24.1%
49.3%		26.6%
+347
+107
+350
+100
1
1		-1.14022-1.16402-1.32407
Porto
Braga		37.3%
34.5%		28.2%
+126
+249
+110
+270
0
1		-1.28147-1.35662-1.06409
SC Farense
Estoril		24.5%
47.6%		27.9%
+210
+155
+240
+130
2
2		-1.16360-1.18159-1.27654
Nacional
Benfica		4.1%
86.2%		9.6%
+1198
-442
+1225
-500
0
3		-0.24321-0.23270-0.14829
Arouca
AVS		33.6%
36.2%		30.2%
+138
+219
+150
+210
1
0		-0.91599-0.96551-1.08969
Gil Vicente FC
Estrela		22.9%
50.7%		26.4%
+187
+180
+190
+175
1
1		-1.11158-1.12819-1.33325
Estoril
Sporting CP		3.4%
87.2%		9.3%
+849
-303
+925
-380
1
3		-0.32741-0.28167-0.13669
Braga
Rio Ave		59.3%
17.6%		23.1%
-103
+293
-120
+310
1
2		-1.39675-1.46218-1.73494
AVS
SC Farense		28.3%
42.9%		28.7%
+254
+131
+265
+125
1
0		-1.30137-1.34519-1.26188
Estrela
Moreirense		23.1%
50.8%		26.1%
+363
-104
+365
-110
1
1		-1.20071-1.21322-1.34151
Santa Clara
Boavista		43.6%
28.6%		27.8%
-125
+422
-130
+435
0
1		-1.69043-1.72648-1.25260
Casa Pia AC
Vitoria		17.0%
60.0%		23.0%
+386
-118
+410
-120
0
1		-0.65085-0.65420-0.51033
Porto
Arouca		65.1%
13.8%		21.1%
-168
+490
-155
+455
2
0		-0.50649-0.54775-0.42920
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Season Prediction Results

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 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).