Arouca at Estoril

Updated

Arouca

14.9%14.0%71.1%
WinDrawEstoril Win
0.51Projected Goals 2.45
2Final Score 1

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Benfica+1050
L 1-2 at Belenenses+155
L 6-0 vs Braga+370
T 1-1 at Portimonense+280
L 4-1 vs FC Vizela+200
Estoril
Money Line
L 1-3 at Vitoria+275
L 3-2 vs Porto
L 0-1 at Moreirense+180
T 2-2 vs Famalicao+135
W 1-0 at Belenenses+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+284+300+320+327+274+320+327+341.5
Estoril+105+100-105+101-101-105+101+106.9
Draw+221+210+235+240+245+235+245+244.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+310----+305+305+341.5
Estoril-110----+100+100+106.9
Draw+250----+230+230+244.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Estoril: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +300 to +290
Estoril ML moved from +100 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Estoril: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +315 to +305
Estoril ML moved from -110 to -130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+105o2¼-105o2¼+101o2½+129-o2¼+101o2¼+101o2¼+110
Underu2¼-125u2¼-115u2¼-121u2½-144-u2¼-121u2½-144u2¼-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+110
Under-----u2¼-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-149 to o2½+109
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes36.7%
 
No63.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.17%
Exactly 222.68%
Exactly 416.59%
Exactly 64.85%
Exactly 80.76%
 
Exactly 115.31%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.83%
Exactly 72.05%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 059.86%
Exactly 130.72%
Exactly 27.88%
Exactly 31.35%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 08.63%
Exactly 121.15%
Exactly 225.90%
Exactly 321.15%
Exactly 412.95%
Exactly 56.34%
Exactly 62.59%
Exactly 70.91%
Exactly 80.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.37%
Exactly 223.86%
Exactly 43.74%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.80%
Exactly 310.91%
Exactly 51.03%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 078.85%
Exactly 118.73%
Exactly 22.23%
Exactly 30.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 032.17%
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 220.69%
Exactly 37.82%
Exactly 42.22%
Exactly 50.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals1.18%
Wins by 3+ goals0.17%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals57.51%
Wins by 3+ goals34.40%
Wins by 4+ goals17.23%
Wins by 5+ goals7.31%
Wins by 6+ goals2.64%
Wins by 7+ goals0.79%
Wins by 8+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Estoril
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal4.71%
Wins by 2 goals1.01%
Wins by 3 goals0.15%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal22.47%
Wins by 2 goals23.11%
Wins by 3 goals17.17%
Wins by 4 goals9.92%
Wins by 5 goals4.67%
Wins by 6 goals1.85%
Wins by 7 goals0.63%
Wins by 8 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.83%5.17%
1.579.52%20.48%
2.556.84%43.16%
3.534.44%65.56%
4.517.85%82.15%
5.58.02%91.98%
6.53.17%96.83%
7.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.540.14%59.86%
1.59.42%90.58%
2.51.54%98.46%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.37%8.63%
1.570.21%29.79%
2.544.31%55.69%
3.523.17%76.83%
4.510.22%89.78%
5.53.87%96.13%
6.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.63%25.37%
1.539.83%60.17%
2.515.97%84.03%
3.55.06%94.94%
4.51.32%98.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Estoril
Score012345
0
5.17%
12.66%
15.51%
12.66%
7.75%
3.80%
1
2.65%
6.50%
7.96%
6.50%
3.98%
1.95%
2
0.68%
1.67%
2.04%
1.67%
1.02%
0.50%
3
0.12%
0.29%
0.35%
0.29%
0.17%
0.09%
Arouca
1-02.65%
2-00.68%
2-11.67%
3-00.12%
3-10.29%
3-20.35%
Draw
0-05.17%
1-16.50%
2-22.04%
3-30.29%
Estoril
0-112.66%
0-215.51%
1-27.96%
0-312.66%
1-36.50%
2-31.67%
0-47.75%
1-43.98%
2-41.02%
3-40.17%
0-53.80%
1-51.95%
2-50.50%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Estoril
Score012345
0
25.37%
28.77%
16.31%
6.17%
1.75%
0.40%
1
6.03%
6.84%
3.88%
1.47%
0.42%
0.09%
2
0.72%
0.81%
0.46%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
Arouca
1-06.03%
2-00.72%
2-10.81%
Draw
0-025.37%
1-16.84%
2-20.46%
Estoril
0-128.77%
0-216.31%
1-23.88%
0-36.17%
1-31.47%
2-30.17%
0-41.75%
1-40.42%
0-50.40%
Famalicão at Porto
Vitória at FC Vizela