Benfica at Arouca

Updated

Benfica

70.1%13.7%16.1%
Benfica WinDrawWin
2.55Projected Goals 0.59
2Final Score 0

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Moreirense-600
W 0-2 vs Pacos-525
L 1-3 at Porto+350
W 1-7 vs Maritimo-650
W 4-1 at Famalicao-170
Arouca
Money Line
L 1-2 at Belenenses+155
L 6-0 vs Braga+370
T 1-1 at Portimonense+280
L 4-1 vs FC Vizela+200
L 1-2 at Santa Clara+305

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-220-345-400-355-480-400-345-290.3
Arouca+575+800+1000+1093+1287+1000+1287+1041.1
Draw+340+450+450+484+524+450+524+493.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-330-----400-400-290.3
Arouca+1000----+1050+1050+1041.1
Draw+420----+500+500+493.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Arouca: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Arouca: 60.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -344 to -350
Arouca ML moved from +800 to +775

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Arouca: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Arouca: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -430 to -450
Arouca ML moved from +1300 to +1050

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102o3-108o3-112o3-103-o3-112o3-103o3+108
Underu2¾-118u3-112u3-108u3-112-u3-108u3-108u3-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+108
Under-----u3-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-119 to o3-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.9%
 
No59.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.35%
Exactly 221.37%
Exactly 417.51%
Exactly 65.74%
Exactly 81.01%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.63%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 510.98%
Exactly 72.57%
Exactly 90.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 07.82%
Exactly 119.93%
Exactly 225.39%
Exactly 321.57%
Exactly 413.75%
Exactly 57.01%
Exactly 62.98%
Exactly 71.08%
Exactly 80.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 055.62%
Exactly 132.63%
Exactly 29.57%
Exactly 31.87%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.42%
Exactly 224.68%
Exactly 44.33%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 133.99%
Exactly 311.94%
Exactly 51.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 030.72%
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 221.39%
Exactly 38.42%
Exactly 42.48%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 076.22%
Exactly 120.70%
Exactly 22.81%
Exactly 30.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals58.00%
Wins by 3+ goals35.38%
Wins by 4+ goals18.17%
Wins by 5+ goals7.93%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals1.41%
Wins by 3+ goals0.22%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Arouca
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal21.71%
Wins by 2 goals22.62%
Wins by 3 goals17.21%
Wins by 4 goals10.24%
Wins by 5 goals4.98%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal4.99%
Wins by 2 goals1.19%
Wins by 3 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.65%4.35%
1.582.02%17.98%
2.560.65%39.35%
3.538.31%61.69%
4.520.80%79.20%
5.59.82%90.18%
6.54.08%95.92%
7.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.18%7.82%
1.572.26%27.74%
2.546.86%53.14%
3.525.29%74.71%
4.511.54%88.46%
5.54.54%95.46%
6.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.544.38%55.62%
1.511.75%88.25%
2.52.18%97.82%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.58%23.42%
1.542.59%57.41%
2.517.91%82.09%
3.55.97%94.03%
4.51.64%98.36%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Arouca
Score0123
0
4.35%
2.55%
0.75%
0.15%
1
11.08%
6.50%
1.91%
0.37%
2
14.12%
8.29%
2.43%
0.48%
3
12.00%
7.04%
2.06%
0.40%
4
7.65%
4.49%
1.32%
0.26%
5
3.90%
2.29%
0.67%
0.13%
Benfica
1-011.08%
2-014.12%
2-18.29%
3-012.00%
3-17.04%
3-22.06%
4-07.65%
4-14.49%
4-21.32%
4-30.26%
5-03.90%
5-12.29%
5-20.67%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-04.35%
1-16.50%
2-22.43%
3-30.40%
Arouca
0-12.55%
0-20.75%
1-21.91%
0-30.15%
1-30.37%
2-30.48%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Arouca
Score012
0
23.42%
6.36%
0.86%
1
27.63%
7.51%
1.02%
2
16.31%
4.43%
0.60%
3
6.41%
1.74%
0.24%
4
1.89%
0.51%
0.07%
5
0.45%
0.12%
0.02%
Benfica
1-027.63%
2-016.31%
2-14.43%
3-06.41%
3-11.74%
3-20.24%
4-01.89%
4-10.51%
5-00.45%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-023.42%
1-17.51%
2-20.60%
Arouca
0-16.36%
0-20.86%
1-21.02%