Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Games for Jan 9, 2025
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Santa Clara
Estoril		31.5%
39.2%		29.4%
+193
+172
+215
+145
4
1		-1.10909-1.19448-1.15626
Gil Vicente FC
Porto		5.2%
82.5%		12.2%
+1068
-391
+1200
-480
0
3		-0.26570-0.23953-0.19203
Boavista
Casa Pia AC		22.8%
51.4%		25.8%
+343
-104
+315
-105
1
0		-1.51349-1.47351-1.47837
Nacional
AVS		50.0%
50.0%		0.0%
+230
+111
+255
+115
1
1		-1.04725-1.06484
Rio Ave
Sporting CP		6.2%
80.0%		13.8%
+1869
-753
+1600
-800
1
3		-0.16385-0.16940-0.22354
Porto
Braga		37.3%
34.5%		28.2%
+113
+235
+110
+230
1
0		-0.79158-0.79025-0.98618
Chaves
Sporting CP		3.8%
86.5%		9.7%
+2800
-1363
+2100
-1500
0
3		-0.10412-0.11749-0.14470
Estoril
Moreirense		19.3%
56.0%		24.7%
+236
+125
+245
+120
1
2		-0.84565-0.83924-0.57918
Vitoria
Arouca		34.7%
35.0%		30.3%
+127
+213
+130
+195
3
1		-0.85320-0.88317-1.05814
FC Vizela
Boavista		22.0%
52.6%		25.4%
+337
+104
+255
+110
2
2		-1.21574-1.27447-1.37148
Portimonense
SC Farense		20.6%
52.5%		26.9%
+121
+196
+120
+180
3
1		-0.82608-0.83977-1.58163
Gil Vicente FC
Estrela		26.5%
45.8%		27.7%
+373
-142
+375
-145
0
1		-0.57492-0.57263-0.78036
Benfica
Rio Ave		67.6%
12.7%		19.7%
-243
+603
-245
+610
1
1		-1.71713-1.65921-1.62399
Casa Pia AC
Famalicao		22.1%
53.4%		24.6%
+462
-173
+390
-150
2
1		-1.75962-1.63897-1.51172
Boavista
Porto		4.7%
84.1%		11.2%
+1712
-725
+1750
-800
1
2		-0.17673-0.16485-0.17304
Moreirense
Casa Pia AC		34.1%
36.3%		29.6%
+186
+169
+190
+165
1
0		-1.08607-1.11355-1.07482
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).