Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated 5 days ago

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Games for Jan 12, 2025

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
12/02/2023 03:30 PM	Estrela Rio Ave	23.5% 49.3%	27.2%	+295 +105 +225 +120	1 1	-1.29342-1.28913	-1.30221
12/02/2023 03:30 PM	Vitoria SC Farense	43.2% 28.2%	28.6%	+120 +243 +125 +210	2 1	-0.80759-0.86232	-0.83956
12/01/2023 08:30 PM	FC Vizela Chaves	31.8% 39.3%	29.0%	+156 +195 +150 +185	1 2	-1.11042-1.09551	-0.93463
11/12/2023 08:30 PM	Sporting CP Benfica	23.3% 52.1%	24.6%	+187 +160 +165 +160	1 2	-0.98744-1.00605	-0.65260
11/12/2023 06:00 PM	Braga Arouca	60.7% 16.8%	22.5%	-135 +388 -145 +375	1 0	-0.57909-0.57556	-0.49872
11/12/2023 03:30 PM	SC Farense Boavista	24.3% 48.6%	27.0%	+280 -105 +270 +100	3 1	-1.37960-1.35899	-1.41272
11/12/2023 03:30 PM	Rio Ave Gil Vicente FC	21.5% 51.9%	26.6%	+245 +125 +260 +110	1 1	-1.25597-1.26012	-1.32313
11/11/2023 08:30 PM	Porto Vitoria	61.0% 16.6%	22.4%	-136 +406 -140 +390	2 1	-0.58426-0.58834	-0.49453
11/11/2023 06:00 PM	Famalicao FC Vizela	30.4% 42.3%	27.3%	+226 +136 +235 +130	0 0	-1.20962-1.19690	-1.29671
11/11/2023 06:00 PM	Moreirense Estrela	29.6% 42.0%	28.4%	+165 +170 +170 +165	1 0	-1.01145-1.04276	-1.21763
11/11/2023 03:30 PM	Chaves Portimonense	23.6% 48.9%	27.5%	+235 +125 +200 +135	1 2	-0.84567-0.90604	-0.71556
11/10/2023 08:15 PM	Casa Pia AC Estoril	26.4% 45.8%	27.7%	+208 +148 +195 +145	0 4	-0.94323-0.94505	-0.78027
11/06/2023 08:15 PM	Arouca SC Farense	23.7% 48.5%	27.8%	+214 +142 +200 +145	0 2	-0.91614-0.94410	-0.72451
11/05/2023 08:30 PM	Estrela Sporting CP	3.9% 86.1%	10.0%	+1100 -460 +1225 -550	2 3	-0.22915-0.21647	-0.15007
11/05/2023 06:00 PM	Boavista Rio Ave	27.3% 44.5%	28.2%	+170 +163 +165 +165	0 2	-1.01074-1.02641	-0.81045
11/05/2023 03:30 PM	Vitoria Moreirense	32.6% 38.2%	29.2%	+158 +191 +155 +190	0 1	-1.10455-1.11301	-0.96359

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).