Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated 5 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
11/05/2023 03:30 PM	FC Vizela Casa Pia AC	23.8% 49.8%	26.4%	+255 +117 +255 +115	1 0	-1.30545-1.31557	-1.43641
11/04/2023 08:30 PM	Portimonense Braga	7.3% 77.8%	14.9%	+1160 -410 +925 -410	1 6	-0.23925-0.26774	-0.25081
11/04/2023 06:00 PM	Gil Vicente FC Famalicao	24.9% 49.0%	26.1%	+257 +115 +275 +100	1 3	-0.79913-0.74421	-0.71417
11/04/2023 03:30 PM	Benfica Chaves	79.0% 7.1%	13.9%	-333 +900 -395 +925	2 0	-0.29769-0.27616	-0.23565
11/03/2023 08:15 PM	Estoril Porto	5.8% 81.2%	13.0%	+1300 -467 +1250 -550	1 0	-2.65883-2.65484	-2.85527
10/30/2023 08:15 PM	Sporting CP Boavista	71.3% 10.8%	17.9%	-260 +750 -245 +625	2 0	-0.36647-0.39116	-0.33892
10/29/2023 08:30 PM	Porto FC Vizela	67.9% 12.5%	19.6%	-228 +715 -245 +660	2 0	-0.39076-0.39322	-0.38778
10/29/2023 06:00 PM	Famalicao Estrela	34.8% 36.8%	28.4%	+186 +155 +195 +150	0 1	-0.98171-0.96648	-1.00003
10/29/2023 03:30 PM	SC Farense Rio Ave	23.5% 48.6%	27.9%	+200 +145 +195 +145	4 3	-1.13868-1.13075	-1.36626
10/28/2023 07:30 PM	Braga Gil Vicente FC	52.2% 22.6%	25.3%	-161 +410 -165 +385	3 3	-1.55594-1.55391	-1.37599
10/28/2023 05:00 PM	Chaves Vitoria	15.7% 62.1%	22.1%	+430 -145 +410 -155	0 5	-0.55459-0.55036	-0.47576
10/28/2023 05:00 PM	Casa Pia AC Benfica	4.5% 85.1%	10.4%	+1236 -427 +1225 -485	1 1	-1.99180-1.97350	-2.25886
10/28/2023 02:30 PM	Estoril Portimonense	30.6% 39.2%	30.3%	+173 +158 +175 +150	0 1	-0.98663-0.96840	-0.93718
10/27/2023 07:15 PM	Moreirense Arouca	29.1% 41.8%	29.1%	+191 +163 +190 +150	1 0	-1.09922-1.11590	-1.23371
10/08/2023 07:30 PM	Arouca Sporting CP	4.9% 83.3%	11.8%	+1508 -522 +1275 -525	1 2	-0.21296-0.22377	-0.18246
10/08/2023 05:00 PM	Portimonense Porto	4.7% 83.4%	11.9%	+1505 -552 +1500 -650	0 1	-0.20376-0.19225	-0.18131

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).