Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Estrela
Casa Pia AC
20.0%
55.3%
24.7%
+270
+110
+270
+105
1
0
-1.34811-1.35922-1.60789
Vitoria
Famalicao
28.3%
44.8%
26.9%
+173
+186
+170
+175
3
1
-1.04310-1.04344-1.26199
Benfica
Estoril
72.4%
10.3%
17.3%
-317
+850
-365
+800
1
0
-0.30058-0.29429-0.32360
Rio Ave
Braga
8.8%
74.9%
16.3%
+864
-313
+800
-310
1
2
-1.79132-1.73744-1.81315
FC Vizela
SC Farense
32.0%
38.3%
29.7%
+219
+131
+205
+130
0
0
-1.27397-1.28953-1.21490
Gil Vicente FC
Chaves
34.5%
35.5%
30.1%
+156
+173
+155
+170
2
4
-1.03843-1.04432-1.03693
Boavista
Moreirense
26.2%
46.6%
27.1%
+310
-110
+295
-110
1
1
-1.33556-1.34442-1.30490
Casa Pia AC
Gil Vicente FC
25.3%
47.4%
27.3%
+202
+150
+210
+135
0
2
-0.95620-0.90429-0.74655
Moreirense
Rio Ave
24.8%
47.4%
27.7%
+179
+170
+180
+160
4
0
-1.06465-1.07790-1.39304
Estoril
Vitoria
21.7%
52.4%
25.8%
+355
-120
+330
-120
2
3
-0.63754-0.65682-0.64598
Chaves
Arouca
20.1%
54.5%
25.4%
+305
-101
+285
-105
2
0
-1.42933-1.40031-1.60241
Sporting CP
SC Farense
75.7%
8.2%
16.1%
-258
+711
-260
+650
3
2
-0.35632-0.37577-0.27884
Famalicao
Boavista
33.0%
39.1%
28.0%
+197
+150
+195
+145
2
2
-1.23289-1.24289-1.27475
Portimonense
FC Vizela
22.5%
50.4%
27.1%
+370
-128
+355
-130
3
2
-1.58421-1.56552-1.49157
Porto
Benfica
20.8%
55.4%
23.7%
+325
-113
+305
-115
0
1
-0.66045-0.67647-0.58974
Braga
Estrela
58.8%
18.4%
22.8%
-140
+340
-140
+345
4
2
-0.58656-0.58965-0.53072
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).