Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated 5 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
08/26/2023 05:00 PM	Chaves SC Farense	26.3% 45.7%	28.0%	+260 +119 +250 +110	0 5	-0.80145-0.79239	-0.78305
08/26/2023 02:30 PM	Portimonense Arouca	22.1% 51.0%	26.9%	+395 -126 +380 -135	1 1	-1.32769-1.36004	-1.31230
08/25/2023 07:15 PM	Estoril Estrela	31.6% 38.9%	29.5%	+234 +130 +225 +130	1 2	-0.87034-0.88642	-0.94510
08/21/2023 07:15 PM	Moreirense Famalicao	19.8% 56.8%	23.4%	+229 +133 +215 +130	0 0	-1.25068-1.25846	-1.45355
08/20/2023 07:30 PM	Arouca FC Vizela	24.4% 49.9%	25.6%	+255 +122 +245 +120	2 2	-1.23491-1.22946	-1.36141
08/20/2023 05:00 PM	SC Farense Porto	4.5% 84.4%	11.2%	+1600 -534 +1550 -600	1 2	-0.20550-0.20397	-0.16986
08/20/2023 02:30 PM	Rio Ave Estoril	26.5% 44.3%	29.2%	+192 +167 +190 +160	0 2	-1.01022-1.00622	-0.81459
08/19/2023 07:30 PM	Estrela Benfica	5.0% 83.9%	11.1%	+1500 -610 +1600 -800	0 2	-0.19740-0.16940	-0.17562
08/19/2023 07:30 PM	Boavista Portimonense	24.5% 47.3%	28.1%	+142 +226 +150 +205	4 1	-0.91013-0.96551	-1.40515
08/19/2023 05:00 PM	Braga Chaves	63.3% 15.4%	21.3%	-183 +508 -165 +400	4 2	-0.47117-0.52498	-0.45719
08/19/2023 02:30 PM	Gil Vicente FC Vitoria	22.9% 51.4%	25.7%	+275 +115 +265 +110	1 2	-0.79105-0.79376	-0.66501
08/18/2023 07:15 PM	Sporting CP Casa Pia AC	72.8% 9.8%	17.3%	-227 +805 -225 +615	2 1	-0.36200-0.41609	-0.31734
08/14/2023 07:45 PM	Benfica Boavista	72.4% 10.4%	17.2%	-300 +950 -330 +875	2 3	-2.37645-2.32780	-2.26606
08/14/2023 05:45 PM	Porto Moreirense	68.7% 12.1%	19.2%	-243 +726 -275 +700	2 1	-0.35928-0.35782	-0.37517
08/13/2023 07:30 PM	Estoril Arouca	31.3% 39.0%	29.6%	+318 +110 +285 +105	3 4	-0.75754-0.76718	-0.94115
08/13/2023 05:00 PM	Vitoria Estrela	33.2% 37.9%	28.9%	+203 +150 +205 +145	1 0	-1.14930-1.16254	-1.10163

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).