Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 17, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Famalicao
Benfica 		5.6%
83.0%		11.4%
+1319
-483

0.66
2.91		3.57
o3-116
u3-101

Games for Jan 16, 2025
Games for Jan 18, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Boavista
Sporting CP		5.3%
82.4%		12.3%
+1150
-373
+950
-370
0
3		-0.25742-0.28083-0.19407
Benfica
Maritimo		76.2%
8.2%		15.6%
-346
+1059
-385
+1000
3
0		-0.27697-0.28102-0.27139
Gil Vicente FC
Rio Ave		22.8%
50.0%		27.2%
+218
+149
+220
+140
1
2		-0.93856-0.92591-0.69217
Braga
FC Vizela		46.8%
27.3%		25.9%
-102
+305
-105
+295
4
0		-0.71325-0.71885-0.75914
Arouca
Vitoria		21.6%
53.1%		25.3%
+315
+110
+310
+100
2
0		-1.44766-1.45685-1.53285
Santa Clara
Pacos		26.9%
45.1%		28.0%
+301
+110
+255
+115
0
1		-0.76748-0.81410-0.79660
Portimonense
Chaves		28.0%
42.9%		29.1%
+231
+138
+220
+130
0
2		-0.89209-0.88201-0.84651
Estoril
Porto		5.5%
81.9%		12.6%
+1535
-393
+1300
-480
2
3		-0.22974-0.24076-0.19988
Pacos
Casa Pia AC		19.8%
55.2%		25.0%
+364
+100
+340
+100
1
2		-0.71425-0.74179-0.59343
Rio Ave
Braga		11.4%
69.5%		19.1%
+599
-178
+625
-200
0
2		-0.47506-0.45569-0.36451
Vitoria
Santa Clara		35.8%
34.9%		29.3%
+187
+184
+180
+180
3
1		-1.07819-1.07614-1.02842
Maritimo
Gil Vicente FC		22.5%
50.8%		26.8%
+350
-110
+340
-115
0
2		-0.66865-0.67641-0.67826
Porto
Chaves		77.8%
7.5%		14.7%
-252
+836
-310
+900
3
1		-0.35361-0.33045-0.25066
Sporting CP
Portimonense		66.5%
12.7%		20.8%
-266
+872
-315
+900
1
0		-0.34455-0.32403-0.40731
FC Vizela
Estoril		32.3%
39.4%		28.3%
+178
+178
+180
+165
3
0		-1.05014-1.08028-1.13060
Braga
Vitoria		48.5%
25.7%		25.9%
-103
+318
+100
+290
1
2		-1.46616-1.41026-1.35938
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).