Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 17, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Famalicao
Benfica 		5.6%
83.0%		11.4%
+1300
-479
+1350
-565
0.66
2.91		3.57
o3-116
u3-101

Games for Jan 16, 2025
Games for Jan 18, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Estoril
Sporting CP		5.9%
80.9%		13.3%
+1450
-463
+1650
-575
0
2		-0.22689-0.20898-0.21225
Gil Vicente FC
Porto		4.2%
85.2%		10.5%
+1630
-511
+1500
-620
2
1		-2.86963-2.82397-3.16439
Boavista
Pacos		29.8%
41.0%		29.2%
+185
+165
+185
+165
3
1		-1.09198-1.09688-1.21019
Chaves
Rio Ave		18.2%
57.1%		24.7%
+314
+107
+250
+115
0
1		-0.75044-0.81792-0.56082
Benfica
FC Vizela		70.2%
12.1%		17.7%
-241
+780
-300
+800
2
0		-0.36727-0.33798-0.35341
Santa Clara
Maritimo		23.4%
49.7%		26.9%
+280
+127
+280
+115
1
3		-0.85085-0.81507-0.69870
Casa Pia AC
Arouca		26.7%
45.5%		27.8%
+231
+142
+220
+145
0
2		-0.92098-0.94868-0.78708
Portimonense
Famalicao		20.0%
55.7%		24.3%
+390
-118
+380
-120
0
1		-0.64682-0.65710-0.58591
Boavista
Benfica		3.7%
87.0%		9.3%
+1900
-666
+1900
-725
1
3		-0.17606-0.17800-0.13885
Sporting CP
Chaves		70.1%
11.2%		18.6%
-270
+877
-285
+800
3
2		-0.34322-0.35085-0.35519
Vitoria
Casa Pia AC		29.9%
42.1%		28.0%
+235
+153
+215
+150
0
0		-1.13432-1.14819-1.27329
Arouca
Braga		9.1%
74.5%		16.4%
+714
-225
+640
-225
0
2		-0.39264-0.41620-0.29383
Famalicao
Santa Clara		36.4%
35.2%		28.4%
+148
+226
+160
+200
3
1		-0.94333-1.00550-1.01178
Rio Ave
Porto		4.9%
83.0%		12.1%
+1463
-442
+1400
-525
0
1		-0.22605-0.22078-0.18651
Pacos
Estoril		20.3%
54.0%		25.6%
+322
+110
+290
+105
3
1		-1.45680-1.41157-1.59283
Maritimo
Portimonense		25.1%
46.0%		28.8%
+214
+150
+210
+140
1
2		-0.94305-0.92591-0.77568
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).