Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 17, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Famalicao
Benfica 		5.6%
83.0%		11.4%
+1349
-496
+1350
-565
0.66
2.91		3.57
o3-118
u3+102

Games for Jan 16, 2025
Games for Jan 18, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Casa Pia AC
Sporting CP		3.8%
86.3%		9.9%
+721
-240
+800
-280
1
3		-0.38796-0.35610-0.14711
Braga
Estoril		53.8%
21.3%		24.9%
-160
+461
-155
+440
2
0		-0.52410-0.54611-0.62036
Pacos
Famalicao		20.3%
55.9%		23.8%
+345
-109
+390
-125
1
2		-0.69057-0.64014-0.58103
Benfica
Porto		29.7%
43.5%		26.8%
+218
+139
+215
+130
1
0		-1.19214-1.19690-1.21318
Famalicao
Arouca		43.1%
29.7%		27.2%
+165
+192
+170
+175
1
4		-1.10151-1.06178-1.21402
Chaves
Braga		6.0%
81.2%		12.8%
+860
-243
+660
-280
1
0		-2.25284-2.07712-2.80925
FC Vizela
Casa Pia AC		28.8%
44.2%		27.0%
+212
+150
+200
+150
1
0		-1.16658-1.14816-1.24528
Maritimo
Boavista		27.5%
43.9%		28.6%
+350
-109
+375
-130
1
1		-1.28183-1.33306-1.25075
Vitoria
Pacos		35.6%
34.8%		29.7%
+128
+249
+120
+240
1
0		-0.85193-0.83884-1.03384
Rio Ave
Benfica		5.1%
83.0%		11.9%
+1602
-490
+1500
-610
2
4		-0.20127-0.20125-0.18620
Porto
Portimonense		68.7%
11.6%		19.6%
-233
+770
-280
+775
2
0		-0.36776-0.35525-0.37472
Sporting CP
Santa Clara		72.2%
10.1%		17.6%
-200
+656
-200
+575
2
1		-0.42402-0.45703-0.32533
Estoril
Gil Vicente FC		20.7%
53.6%		25.7%
+233
+123
+245
+110
1
0		-1.23843-1.28880-1.57571
Casa Pia AC
Maritimo		18.3%
57.3%		24.4%
+151
+211
+140
+210
2
1		-0.94479-0.92591-1.70062
Boavista
Famalicao		20.0%
56.5%		23.5%
+278
+119
+295
+105
0
4		-0.80426-0.76992-0.57167
Arouca
Pacos		18.3%
57.4%		24.2%
+189
+160
+195
+150
1
1		-1.21409-1.21335-1.41679
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).