Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 17, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Famalicao
Benfica 		5.6%
83.0%		11.4%
+1307
-490
+1350
-565
0.66
2.91		3.57
o3-118
u3+102

Games for Jan 16, 2025
Games for Jan 18, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Santa Clara
Rio Ave		25.9%
45.7%		28.3%
+230
+151
+230
+140
0
1		-0.94199-0.92712-0.78211
Benfica
Vitoria		62.3%
16.4%		21.3%
-297
+841
-330
+850
0
0		-1.72216-1.77278-1.54844
Estoril
Chaves		34.5%
35.3%		30.2%
+246
+125
+240
+120
1
1		-1.22974-1.24434-1.19587
Portimonense
FC Vizela		29.1%
42.7%		28.2%
+330
-107
+285
+100
0
1		-0.69135-0.74560-0.85139
Braga
Porto		16.8%
61.6%		21.6%
+310
-108
+330
-125
1
4		-0.67869-0.63779-0.48478
Gil Vicente FC
Sporting CP		5.3%
82.5%		12.2%
+899
-314
+875
-330
1
3		-0.31574-0.31522-0.19206
FC Vizela
Braga		8.0%
77.7%		14.3%
+651
-234
+700
-275
0
2		-0.39295-0.35956-0.25203
Famalicao
Casa Pia AC		34.8%
36.9%		28.3%
+236
+140
+225
+140
0
1		-0.91574-0.92637-0.99653
Maritimo
Benfica		4.1%
85.5%		10.4%
+2052
-753
+2100
-900
0
5		-0.16135-0.15483-0.15651
Vitoria
Arouca		53.6%
22.0%		24.4%
+162
+196
+150
+205
2
2		-1.17710-1.18061-1.41104
Sporting CP
Boavista		66.7%
12.9%		20.3%
-235
+650
-240
+675
1
2		-2.07036-2.09867-2.04570
Porto
Estoril		74.7%
8.8%		16.5%
-255
+783
-275
+800
1
1		-1.60779-1.62837-1.80351
Pacos
Santa Clara		23.4%
50.1%		26.5%
+373
-115
+390
-120
1
1		-1.26340-1.24514-1.32908
Rio Ave
Gil Vicente FC		18.4%
56.3%		25.2%
+272
+107
+275
+105
2
2		-1.29382-1.27122-1.37741
Chaves
Portimonense		20.4%
53.6%		25.9%
+258
+130
+260
+115
0
1		-0.85541-0.81482-0.62321
Estoril
FC Vizela		27.8%
44.9%		27.3%
+268
+112
+265
+110
1
0		-1.33325-1.34228-1.27884
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).