Samara at Sochi

Updated

Samara

14.0%19.9%66.1%
WinDrawSochi Win
0.83Projected Goals 2.06
2Final Score 0

Sochi

Last 5 Games

Samara
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Loko Moscow
W 1-3 vs Ural
L 1-2 at Krasnodar
T 1-1 vs Orenburg
L 1-3 at Zenit
Sochi
Money Line
L 0-3 at Zenit
L 2-0 vs Rubin Kazan
T 3-3 vs Dynamo Mosc
L 0-1 at Nizhny Novgorod
W 4-1 at Ural

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Samara+139+132-+133-+133+133+151.2
Sochi+188+213-+193-+193+213+215.9
Draw+264+244-+225-+225+244+250.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Samara-----+151.2
Sochi-----+215.9
Draw-----+250.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Samara: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sochi: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Samara: 0.0%
Sochi: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Samara: 0.0%
Sochi: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Samara ML moved from +148 to +137
Sochi ML moved from +205 to +193

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-128o2½-104-o2½-101-o2½-101o2½-101o2½+108
Underu2½+108u2½-112-u2½-119-u2½-119u2½-112u2½-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+108
Under-----u2½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.1%
 
No50.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.56%
Exactly 223.21%
Exactly 416.15%
Exactly 64.50%
Exactly 80.67%
 
Exactly 116.06%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 59.34%
Exactly 71.86%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Samara
Exactly 043.81%
Exactly 136.16%
Exactly 214.92%
Exactly 34.10%
Exactly 40.85%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Sochi
Exactly 012.68%
Exactly 126.19%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 318.61%
Exactly 49.61%
Exactly 53.97%
Exactly 61.37%
Exactly 70.40%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.23%
Exactly 223.49%
Exactly 43.50%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.10%
Exactly 310.48%
Exactly 50.94%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Samara
Exactly 068.24%
Exactly 126.07%
Exactly 24.98%
Exactly 30.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sochi
Exactly 038.44%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.57%
Exactly 35.60%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Samara
Wins by 2+ goals4.16%
Wins by 3+ goals0.94%
Wins by 4+ goals0.16%
Sochi
Wins by 2+ goals41.64%
Wins by 3+ goals21.46%
Wins by 4+ goals9.18%
Wins by 5+ goals3.32%
Wins by 6+ goals1.02%
Wins by 7+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Samara
Sochi
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Samara
Wins by 1 goal9.77%
Wins by 2 goals3.22%
Wins by 3 goals0.78%
Wins by 4 goals0.14%
Sochi
Wins by 1 goal24.46%
Wins by 2 goals20.18%
Wins by 3 goals12.28%
Wins by 4 goals5.87%
Wins by 5 goals2.30%
Wins by 6 goals0.76%
Wins by 7 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.44%5.56%
1.578.38%21.62%
2.555.18%44.82%
3.532.82%67.18%
4.516.66%83.34%
5.57.32%92.68%
6.52.83%97.17%

Total Goals Samara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.19%43.81%
1.520.03%79.97%
2.55.11%94.89%
3.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Sochi Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.32%12.68%
1.561.13%38.87%
2.534.09%65.91%
3.515.48%84.52%
4.55.87%94.13%
5.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.77%26.23%
1.538.66%61.34%
2.515.18%84.82%
3.54.70%95.30%
4.51.19%98.81%

Score Props

Correct Score

Samara
Sochi
Score012345
0
5.56%
11.47%
11.85%
8.15%
4.21%
1.74%
1
4.59%
9.47%
9.78%
6.73%
3.47%
1.43%
2
1.89%
3.91%
4.03%
2.78%
1.43%
0.59%
3
0.52%
1.07%
1.11%
0.76%
0.39%
0.16%
4
0.11%
0.22%
0.23%
0.16%
0.08%
0.03%
Samara
1-04.59%
2-01.89%
2-13.91%
3-00.52%
3-11.07%
3-21.11%
4-00.11%
4-10.22%
4-20.23%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-05.56%
1-19.47%
2-24.03%
3-30.76%
Sochi
0-111.47%
0-211.85%
1-29.78%
0-38.15%
1-36.73%
2-32.78%
0-44.21%
1-43.47%
2-41.43%
3-40.39%
0-51.74%
1-51.43%
2-50.59%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Samara
Sochi
Score012345
0
26.23%
25.08%
11.99%
3.82%
0.91%
0.17%
1
10.02%
9.58%
4.58%
1.46%
0.35%
0.07%
2
1.91%
1.83%
0.88%
0.28%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.24%
0.23%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Samara
1-010.02%
2-01.91%
2-11.83%
3-00.24%
3-10.23%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-026.23%
1-19.58%
2-20.88%
Sochi
0-125.08%
0-211.99%
1-24.58%
0-33.82%
1-31.46%
2-30.28%
0-40.91%
1-40.35%
0-50.17%