Athletico Paranaense at Bahia

Updated 46 sec ago

07:00 PM • Nov 24, 2024

Athletico Paranaense

18.2%24.3%57.5%

WinDrawBahia Win

0.82Projected Goals 1.66

Bahia

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
W 0-2	11/20 vs Atletico Goianiense
W 0-1	11/16 vs Atletico Mineiro
L 1-2	11/10 at Sao Paulo
L 2-1	11/02 vs Vitoria
W 0-3	10/26 vs Cruzeiro

Bahia		Money Line
L 2-1	11/20 vs Palmeiras
L 1-2	11/09 at Juventude
L 3-0	11/06 vs Sao Paulo
L 2-3	10/29 at Vasco da Gama
T 1-1	10/19 at Cruzeiro

Money Line Analysis

:4.3%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+360	-	+330	+350	-	+350	+350	+372.5
Bahia	-125	-	-125	-126	-	-126	-125	-113.2
Draw	+265	-	+275	+270	-	+270	+275	+288.5

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+372.5
Bahia	-	-	-	-	-	-113.2
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+288.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Bahia: 20.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bahia: 20.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bahia: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bahia: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Bahia ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.9%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼-115	-	o2½-105	o2½-108	-	o2½-108	o2½-105	o2½+102
Under	u2¼-105	-	u2½-115	u2½-112	-	u2½-112	u2½-112	u2½-102

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2½+102
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	45.2%


No	54.8%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	8.40%
Exactly 2	25.77%
Exactly 4	13.18%
Exactly 6	2.70%
Exactly 8	0.30%


Exactly 1	20.80%
Exactly 3	21.28%
Exactly 5	6.53%
Exactly 7	0.95%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	44.26%
Exactly 1	36.08%
Exactly 2	14.70%
Exactly 3	4.00%
Exactly 4	0.81%
Exactly 5	0.13%

Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 0	18.97%
Exactly 1	31.54%
Exactly 2	26.21%
Exactly 3	14.52%
Exactly 4	6.03%
Exactly 5	2.01%
Exactly 6	0.56%
Exactly 7	0.13%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	31.76%
Exactly 2	20.89%
Exactly 4	2.29%
Exactly 6	0.10%


Exactly 1	36.43%
Exactly 3	7.99%
Exactly 5	0.53%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	68.56%
Exactly 1	25.88%
Exactly 2	4.88%
Exactly 3	0.61%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 0	46.32%
Exactly 1	35.65%
Exactly 2	13.72%
Exactly 3	3.52%
Exactly 4	0.68%
Exactly 5	0.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	5.55%
Wins by 3+ goals	1.27%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.22%

Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals	31.67%
Wins by 3+ goals	13.86%
Wins by 4+ goals	4.94%
Wins by 5+ goals	1.46%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Bahia

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	12.65%
Wins by 2 goals	4.28%
Wins by 3 goals	1.05%
Wins by 4 goals	0.20%

Bahia
Wins by 1 goal	25.81%
Wins by 2 goals	17.81%
Wins by 3 goals	8.92%
Wins by 4 goals	3.48%
Wins by 5 goals	1.11%
Wins by 6 goals	0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	91.60%	8.40%
1.5	70.80%	29.20%
2.5	45.04%	54.96%
3.5	23.76%	76.24%
4.5	10.58%	89.42%
5.5	4.05%	95.95%
6.5	1.36%	98.64%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	55.74%	44.26%
1.5	19.67%	80.33%
2.5	4.96%	95.04%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	81.03%	18.97%
1.5	49.49%	50.51%
2.5	23.28%	76.72%
3.5	8.76%	91.24%
4.5	2.73%	97.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	68.24%	31.76%
1.5	31.81%	68.19%
2.5	10.92%	89.08%
3.5	2.94%	97.06%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Bahia

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8.40%	13.96%	11.60%	6.43%	2.67%	0.89%
1	6.84%	11.38%	9.46%	5.24%	2.18%	0.72%
2	2.79%	4.64%	3.85%	2.14%	0.89%	0.29%
3	0.76%	1.26%	1.05%	0.58%	0.24%	0.08%
4	0.15%	0.26%	0.21%	0.12%	0.05%	0.02%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	6.84%
2-0	2.79%
2-1	4.64%
3-0	0.76%
3-1	1.26%
3-2	1.05%
4-0	0.15%
4-1	0.26%
4-2	0.21%
4-3	0.12%

Draw
0-0	8.40%
1-1	11.38%
2-2	3.85%
3-3	0.58%

Bahia
0-1	13.96%
0-2	11.60%
1-2	9.46%
0-3	6.43%
1-3	5.24%
2-3	2.14%
0-4	2.67%
1-4	2.18%
2-4	0.89%
3-4	0.24%
0-5	0.89%
1-5	0.72%
2-5	0.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Bahia

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	31.76%	24.44%	9.40%	2.41%	0.46%
1	11.99%	9.22%	3.55%	0.91%	0.18%
2	2.26%	1.74%	0.67%	0.17%	0.03%
3	0.28%	0.22%	0.08%	0.02%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	11.99%
2-0	2.26%
2-1	1.74%
3-0	0.28%
3-1	0.22%

Draw
0-0	31.76%
1-1	9.22%
2-2	0.67%

Bahia
0-1	24.44%
0-2	9.40%
1-2	3.55%
0-3	2.41%
1-3	0.91%
2-3	0.17%
0-4	0.46%
1-4	0.18%

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