Gremio at Fluminense

Updated

Gremio

13.9%21.0%65.0%
WinDrawFluminense Win
0.77Projected Goals 1.93
2Final Score 2

Fluminense

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Atletico Goianiense
L 0-1 at Internacional
L 1-2 at Atletico Mineiro
W 1-3 vs Fortaleza
T 0-0 at Botafogo RJ
Fluminense
Money Line
L 1-2 at Vitoria
W 0-1 vs Athletico Paranaense
W 2-0 at Flamengo
W 0-1 vs Cruzeiro
L 0-1 at Atletico Goianiense

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio+289+275+265+285+285+285+285+304.1
Fluminense+100+108+115+114+114+114+115+124.6
Draw+254+242+225+210+210+210+242+225.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio-----+304.1
Fluminense-----+124.6
Draw-----+225.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fluminense: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 0.0%
Fluminense: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Fluminense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Fluminense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+124o2-132o2-125o2-127o2-127o2-127o2-125o2-116
Underu2½-146u2+112u2+105u2+107u2+107u2+107u2+112u2+116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-116
Under-----u2+116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.6%
 
No54.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.75%
Exactly 224.52%
Exactly 414.85%
Exactly 63.60%
Exactly 80.47%
 
Exactly 118.19%
Exactly 322.04%
Exactly 58.01%
Exactly 71.39%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 046.70%
Exactly 135.56%
Exactly 213.54%
Exactly 33.44%
Exactly 40.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Fluminense
Exactly 014.45%
Exactly 127.95%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 317.43%
Exactly 48.43%
Exactly 53.26%
Exactly 61.05%
Exactly 70.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.70%
Exactly 222.36%
Exactly 42.90%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.83%
Exactly 39.30%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 070.29%
Exactly 124.78%
Exactly 24.37%
Exactly 30.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fluminense
Exactly 040.83%
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 216.38%
Exactly 34.89%
Exactly 41.09%
Exactly 50.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals3.87%
Wins by 3+ goals0.77%
Fluminense
Wins by 2+ goals39.62%
Wins by 3+ goals19.53%
Wins by 4+ goals7.92%
Wins by 5+ goals2.67%
Wins by 6+ goals0.73%
Wins by 7+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Fluminense
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal9.97%
Wins by 2 goals3.09%
Wins by 3 goals0.68%
Fluminense
Wins by 1 goal25.34%
Wins by 2 goals20.09%
Wins by 3 goals11.62%
Wins by 4 goals5.25%
Wins by 5 goals1.94%
Wins by 6 goals0.59%
Wins by 7 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.25%6.75%
1.575.06%24.94%
2.550.54%49.46%
3.528.50%71.50%
4.513.65%86.35%
5.55.64%94.36%
6.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.30%46.70%
1.517.74%82.26%
2.54.20%95.80%

Total Goals Fluminense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.55%14.45%
1.557.60%42.40%
2.530.56%69.44%
3.513.12%86.88%
4.54.69%95.31%
5.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.30%28.70%
1.535.47%64.53%
2.513.11%86.89%
3.53.81%96.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Fluminense
Score012345
0
6.75%
13.05%
12.63%
8.14%
3.94%
1.52%
1
5.14%
9.94%
9.61%
6.20%
3.00%
1.16%
2
1.96%
3.78%
3.66%
2.36%
1.14%
0.44%
3
0.50%
0.96%
0.93%
0.60%
0.29%
0.11%
Gremio
1-05.14%
2-01.96%
2-13.78%
3-00.50%
3-10.96%
3-20.93%
Draw
0-06.75%
1-19.94%
2-23.66%
3-30.60%
Fluminense
0-113.05%
0-212.63%
1-29.61%
0-38.14%
1-36.20%
2-32.36%
0-43.94%
1-43.00%
2-41.14%
3-40.29%
0-51.52%
1-51.16%
2-50.44%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Fluminense
Score012345
0
28.70%
25.71%
11.51%
3.44%
0.77%
0.14%
1
10.12%
9.06%
4.06%
1.21%
0.27%
0.05%
2
1.78%
1.60%
0.72%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.21%
0.19%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Gremio
1-010.12%
2-01.78%
2-11.60%
3-00.21%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-028.70%
1-19.06%
2-20.72%
Fluminense
0-125.71%
0-211.51%
1-24.06%
0-33.44%
1-31.21%
2-30.21%
0-40.77%
1-40.27%
0-50.14%