Champions League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 6, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Young Boys
Shakhtar 		46.0%
28.1%		25.9%
+263
+106
+255
+100
1.49
1.10		2.59
o2½-140
u2¾-109
o2½-130
u2½+120
Aston Villa
Club Brugge 		41.3%
31.5%		27.2%
+120
+235
+115
+225
1.33
1.12		2.45
o2½-122
u2½+109
o2½-125
u2½+105
Benfica
Bayern Munich 		11.0%
72.9%		16.1%
+870
-342
+875
-400
0.87
2.51		3.38
o3½-130
u3¾-112
o3½-125
u3½+110
RB Salzburg
Feyenoord 		16.5%
64.0%		19.4%
+485
-172
+450
-175
1.03
2.20		3.23
o3-110
u3-101
o3-108
u3-105
Barcelona
Red Star 		62.1%
16.3%		21.6%
-548
+1400
-625
+1400
1.92
0.86		2.78
o3½-109
u3½-101
o3½-115
u3½-105
Arsenal
Inter 		31.8%
40.9%		27.3%
+186
+170
+181
+170
1.13
1.31		2.44
o2¼-115
u2½-131
o2½+120
u2½-140
Volatility Bet Value Active
Brest
Sparta Prague 		27.8%
47.3%		24.9%
+213
+140
+210
+140
1.16
1.59		2.75
o2½-106
u2½-112
o2½-110
u2½-110
Atletico Madrid
Paris Saint-Germain 		22.4%
52.7%		24.9%
+424
-140
+390
-140
0.96
1.61		2.57
o2½-123
u2¾-118
o2½-120
u2½+110
Atalanta
VfB Stuttgart 		18.3%
61.5%		20.2%
+177
+133
+175
+138
1.08
2.14		3.22
o3-123
u3+101
o3-120
u3½-145
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 5, 2024
Games for Nov 7, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Monaco
Bologna 		35.4%
37.8%		26.7%
+178
+170
+175
+165
2.54
o2½+100
u2½-113
o2½+100
u2½-110
2nd H
60:00		0
0
Juventus
Lille 		33.8%
37.0%		29.2%
+150
+210
+155
+200
2.18
o2¼-105
u2½-139
o2½+130
u2½-140
2nd H
60:00		1
1
Manchester City
Sporting CP 		67.6%
13.2%		19.1%
+108
+259
+110
+250
2.97
o3-102
u3-109
o3+100
u3-115
2nd H
63:00		1
3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Liverpool 		18.3%
60.8%		20.9%
+365
-132
+345
-135
3.07
o3-102
u3-110
o3+105
u3+105
2nd H
61:00		0
1
Sturm Graz
Dortmund 		4.4%
86.6%		8.9%
+1250
-443
+1175
-500
4.07
o3½-113
u3¾-121
o3½-115
u3½+110
2nd H
62:00		0
0
RB Leipzig
Celtic 		64.1%
16.1%		19.8%
+177
+154
+170
+175
3.11
o3-105
u3-110
o3-105
u3-115
2nd H
61:00		1
2
Milan
Real Madrid 		11.1%
71.6%		17.3%
+575
-215
+570
-235
3.11
o3¼-115
u3½-126
o3½+115
u3½-130
2nd H
58:00		2
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Dynamo Kyiv
Rangers		8.1%
76.3%		15.6%
+280
-104
+260
+100
2
0		-1.37729-1.33139-2.51244
Midtjylland
Ferencvaros		27.4%
46.0%		26.6%
+315
-107
+300
-110
1
1		-1.34600-1.33124-1.32520
Lille
Fenerbahce		24.9%
50.1%		24.9%
+316
-111
+300
-115
1
1		-1.35433-1.37200-1.38934
Fenerbahce
Lille		27.8%
46.4%		25.8%
+243
+132
+240
+130
1
2		-0.86776-0.87347-0.76701
Rangers
Dynamo Kyiv		57.1%
19.0%		23.8%
+210
+128
+210
+120
1
1		-1.32321-1.34458-1.43339
Ferencvaros
Midtjylland		24.9%
49.3%		25.8%
+271
+110
+285
+105
0
2		-0.77609-0.75867-0.70729
Dortmund
Real Madrid		11.8%
71.7%		16.5%
+390
-143
+410
-140
0
2		-0.55769-0.56800-0.33315
Bayern Munich
Real Madrid		27.2%
48.2%		24.7%
+265
-102
+285
-102
1
2		-0.71801-0.70810-0.73085
Dortmund
Paris Saint-Germain		15.3%
65.9%		18.8%
+470
-192
+515
-210
1
0		-1.76984-1.85572-1.87582
Paris Saint-Germain
Dortmund		41.1%
33.4%		25.5%
+131
+202
+130
+192
0
1		-1.13140-1.11801-1.09736
Real Madrid
Bayern Munich		25.8%
49.9%		24.3%
+220
+127
+215
+125
2
2		-1.33135-1.31983-1.41543
Arsenal
Bayern Munich		19.0%
59.8%		21.2%
+173
+163
+180
+164
0
1		-0.99872-0.99217-0.51480
Real Madrid
Manchester City		14.6%
65.3%		20.1%
+430
-163
+410
-160
4
3		-1.69461-1.65407-1.92237
Atletico Madrid
Dortmund		26.3%
48.8%		24.9%
+217
+123
+210
+125
2
4		-0.83418-0.84756-0.71758
Paris Saint-Germain
Barcelona		26.3%
48.1%		25.6%
+209
+117
+210
+115
4
1		-1.15849-1.16661-1.33522
Barcelona
Paris Saint-Germain		26.3%
48.1%		25.6%
+250
+109
+260
+110
3
2		-1.28248-1.29997-1.33701
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.62986 
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.63838 
DRatings22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.55960
0.07027
0.07879

Predictions Methodology

The UEFA Champions League game predictions do not account for injuries, missing players or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be different from the prediction. Even though these teams generally bring their A-teams to Champions League games, please see my disclaimer page for more on the benefits and downfalls of these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.