Patronato at Nacional

Updated

Patronato

17.9%22.7%59.4%
WinDrawNacional Win
0.88Projected Goals 1.82
1Final Score 0

Nacional

Last Games

Patronato
Money Line
L 0-5 at Melgar+510
L 2-0 vs Olimpia+155
W 1-4 vs Melgar+125
L 0-1 at Olimpia+515
Nacional
Money Line
L 0-3 at Olimpia+310
W 1-0 at Melgar+230
T 2-2 vs Olimpia-140
W 1-3 vs Melgar-140
T 1-1 vs Olimpia-185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Patronato+625-+390-+442-+442-
Nacional-240--140--154--140-
Draw+340-+265-+272-+272-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Patronato+650---+350+475+475-
Nacional-235----190-155-155-
Draw+360---+300+275+300-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Patronato: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Patronato: 0.0%
Nacional: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Patronato: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Patronato ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Patronato: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Patronato: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Patronato: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Patronato ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122-o2½-112-o2½-103-o2½-103-
Underu2½-108-u2½-118-u2½-117-u2½-117-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115---o2½-115-o2½-115-
Underu2½-115---u2½-115-u2½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.1%
 
No50.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.72%
Exactly 224.50%
Exactly 414.88%
Exactly 63.61%
Exactly 80.47%
 
Exactly 118.15%
Exactly 322.05%
Exactly 58.03%
Exactly 71.39%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Patronato
Exactly 041.35%
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 216.12%
Exactly 34.75%
Exactly 41.05%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 016.26%
Exactly 129.53%
Exactly 226.83%
Exactly 316.24%
Exactly 47.38%
Exactly 52.68%
Exactly 60.81%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.65%
Exactly 222.38%
Exactly 42.91%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.81%
Exactly 39.33%
Exactly 50.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Patronato
Exactly 066.44%
Exactly 127.17%
Exactly 25.55%
Exactly 30.76%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 043.13%
Exactly 136.27%
Exactly 215.25%
Exactly 34.28%
Exactly 40.90%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Patronato
Wins by 2+ goals5.72%
Wins by 3+ goals1.39%
Wins by 4+ goals0.26%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals34.34%
Wins by 3+ goals15.99%
Wins by 4+ goals6.11%
Wins by 5+ goals1.94%
Wins by 6+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Patronato
Nacional
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Patronato
Wins by 1 goal12.16%
Wins by 2 goals4.33%
Wins by 3 goals1.13%
Wins by 4 goals0.23%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal25.01%
Wins by 2 goals18.35%
Wins by 3 goals9.88%
Wins by 4 goals4.17%
Wins by 5 goals1.44%
Wins by 6 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.28%6.72%
1.575.13%24.87%
2.550.63%49.37%
3.528.58%71.42%
4.513.70%86.30%
5.55.67%94.33%
6.52.06%97.94%

Total Goals Patronato Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.65%41.35%
1.522.13%77.87%
2.56.01%93.99%
3.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.74%16.26%
1.554.21%45.79%
2.527.38%72.62%
3.511.14%88.86%
4.53.76%96.24%
5.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.35%28.65%
1.535.53%64.47%
2.513.15%86.85%
3.53.83%96.17%

Score Props

Correct Score

Patronato
Nacional
Score012345
0
6.72%
12.21%
11.09%
6.72%
3.05%
1.11%
1
5.94%
10.78%
9.80%
5.93%
2.69%
0.98%
2
2.62%
4.76%
4.33%
2.62%
1.19%
0.43%
3
0.77%
1.40%
1.27%
0.77%
0.35%
0.13%
4
0.17%
0.31%
0.28%
0.17%
0.08%
0.03%
Patronato
1-05.94%
2-02.62%
2-14.76%
3-00.77%
3-11.40%
3-21.27%
4-00.17%
4-10.31%
4-20.28%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-06.72%
1-110.78%
2-24.33%
3-30.77%
Nacional
0-112.21%
0-211.09%
1-29.80%
0-36.72%
1-35.93%
2-32.62%
0-43.05%
1-42.69%
2-41.19%
3-40.35%
0-51.11%
1-50.98%
2-50.43%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Patronato
Nacional
Score012345
0
28.65%
24.10%
10.13%
2.84%
0.60%
0.10%
1
11.72%
9.85%
4.14%
1.16%
0.24%
0.04%
2
2.40%
2.01%
0.85%
0.24%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.33%
0.27%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Patronato
1-011.72%
2-02.40%
2-12.01%
3-00.33%
3-10.27%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-028.65%
1-19.85%
2-20.85%
Nacional
0-124.10%
0-210.13%
1-24.14%
0-32.84%
1-31.16%
2-30.24%
0-40.60%
1-40.24%
0-50.10%