England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 30, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Hull City
Middlesbrough 		12.4%
68.9%		18.7%
+504
-178

0.79
2.18		2.97
o2½-137
u2¾-112

Millwall
Oxford United 		37.9%
33.8%		28.3%
+133
+196

1.20
1.11		2.31
o2½-122
u2½+107

Queens Park Rangers
Watford 		19.7%
56.8%		23.5%
+329
-118

0.92
1.75		2.67
o2½+102
u2½-115

Leeds United
Blackburn 		54.3%
22.2%		23.5%
-122
+330

1.75
1.04		2.79
o2½-122
u2½+106

Plymouth Argyle
Bristol City 		15.8%
63.9%		20.2%
+391
-141

0.93
2.07		3.00
o2½-122
u2½+106

Cardiff City
Coventry City 		17.3%
60.3%		22.4%
+346
-126

0.88
1.84		2.72
o2½+102
u2½-117

Luton Town
Norwich City 		22.5%
51.9%		25.6%
+189
+143

0.92
1.55		2.47
o2½+102
u2½-116

West Bromwich Albion
Preston North End 		41.1%
30.6%		28.3%
+125
+221

1.24
1.04		2.28
o2¼-105
u2½-137

Volatility Bet Value Active
Burnley
Stoke City 		34.3%
36.4%		29.3%
+145
+190

1.06
1.11		2.17
o2½+119
u2½-140

Portsmouth
Swansea City 		17.5%
60.7%		21.8%
+372
-128

0.91
1.91		2.82
o2½+119
u2½-140

Games for Nov 29, 2024
Games for Dec 1, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Leeds United
Swansea City		51.5%
24.2%		24.3%
-115
+337
-120
+335
4
3		-0.65913-0.65427-0.66345
Norwich City
West Bromwich Albion		25.5%
47.7%		26.8%
+314
-111
+290
-105
2
2		-1.33750-1.31602-1.31811
Stoke City
Queens Park Rangers		32.7%
39.6%		27.6%
+155
+182
+155
+180
1
1		-1.26805-1.24493-1.28605
Derby County
Preston North End		29.9%
41.6%		28.4%
+224
+143
+225
+135
1
1		-1.17993-1.19683-1.25871
Middlesbrough
Oxford United		58.2%
19.4%		22.5%
-128
+361
-135
+400
6
2		-0.60770-0.57848-0.54180
Sunderland
Millwall		30.1%
41.3%		28.5%
+268
+121
+265
+130
1
1		-1.19267-1.16226-1.25470
Hull City
Luton Town		21.3%
54.3%		24.4%
+256
+116
+280
+100
0
1		-0.80491-0.74482-0.61146
Cardiff City
Sheffield Wednesday		22.4%
53.1%		24.5%
+287
+103
+285
+100
1
1		-1.28262-1.28677-1.40670
Sheffield United
Coventry City		33.1%
37.1%		29.8%
+188
+154
+190
+150
2
2		-1.24549-1.22984-1.21066
Burnley
Bristol City		34.1%
37.4%		28.6%
+171
+185
+170
+180
1
0		-1.03558-1.04214-1.07716
Watford
Plymouth Argyle		39.2%
32.8%		28.0%
+122
+221
+125
+210
2
2		-1.31789-1.30416-1.27429
Swansea City
Burnley		18.6%
58.3%		23.0%
+301
+100
+295
-105
0
1		-0.73245-0.71885-0.53876
West Bromwich Albion
Hull City		35.8%
35.4%		28.8%
+144
+203
+140
+200
2
1		-0.93224-0.92712-1.02733
Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield United		14.8%
63.4%		21.7%
+385
-125
+370
-130
0
1		-0.62001-0.62120-0.45541
Coventry City
Sunderland		28.3%
44.1%		27.6%
+250
+120
+225
+125
2
2		-1.24698-1.26897-1.28808
Preston North End
Portsmouth		27.5%
45.5%		26.9%
+160
+193
+155
+190
1
3		-1.11082-1.11301-0.78686
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.65913 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.65427 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.66345
-0.00432
-0.00918

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-3, 33 pts)24.210.411.484.032.6%66.6%30.2%0.0%
2Sunderland (9-2-4, 31 pts)20.112.813.173.43.7%11.5%55.6%0.0%
3Leeds United (8-2-5, 29 pts)24.48.712.986.052.3%78.9%19.2%0.0%
4Burnley (7-2-6, 27 pts)19.611.714.773.44.2%14.9%53.1%0.0%
5West Bromwich Albion (6-2-7, 25 pts)17.911.916.169.91.6%5.7%42.6%0.1%
6Watford (8-6-1, 25 pts)19.117.010.067.20.5%2.1%27.5%0.6%
7Middlesbrough (7-5-3, 24 pts)21.213.211.575.34.9%17.2%59.5%0.0%
8Millwall (6-4-5, 23 pts)16.515.614.063.40.0%0.2%17.1%1.2%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.513.062.40.0%0.3%12.8%2.1%
10Bristol City (5-3-7, 22 pts)16.113.916.064.20.2%0.9%18.3%1.2%
11Swansea City (5-6-4, 19 pts)16.217.012.861.30.0%0.4%10.3%2.5%
12Derby County (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.018.212.857.90.0%0.1%3.6%7.2%
13Stoke City (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.917.312.860.50.0%0.2%7.3%3.9%
14Norwich City (4-5-6, 18 pts)16.115.014.963.30.0%0.3%17.9%1.3%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-3, 18 pts)15.918.112.159.60.0%0.0%7.0%6.0%
16Oxford United (4-6-5, 17 pts)12.220.313.550.10.0%0.0%0.5%37.7%
17Coventry City (4-7-4, 16 pts)16.117.112.861.00.0%0.7%9.4%4.1%
18Plymouth Argyle (4-7-4, 16 pts)12.321.112.649.60.0%0.0%0.6%45.3%
19Hull City (3-6-6, 15 pts)13.217.914.954.40.0%0.0%1.9%16.7%
20Preston North End (3-6-6, 15 pts)12.219.014.851.40.0%0.0%0.5%31.6%
21Luton Town (4-8-3, 15 pts)15.118.912.157.20.0%0.0%3.2%10.3%
22Cardiff City (4-8-3, 15 pts)14.020.012.054.10.0%0.0%1.3%20.3%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.820.514.747.20.0%0.0%0.1%58.9%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-7, 10 pts)10.819.216.048.40.0%0.0%0.5%49.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.