English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Southampton
Brighton and Hove Albion 		11.3%
71.4%		17.3%
+635
-231
+575
-245
0.80
2.32		3.12
o3¼-108
u3½-134
o3½+115
u3½-135
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Nottingham Forest
West Ham United		17.1%
60.5%		22.5%
+457
-140
+450
-146
0
4		-0.56201-0.56630-0.50306
Aston Villa
Everton		31.8%
41.5%		26.7%
+202
+161
+191
+160
2
0		-1.13261-1.10624-1.14699
Wolverhampton
Fulham		29.0%
42.6%		28.4%
+204
+164
+200
+152
1
1		-1.18319-1.20274-1.25843
West Ham United
Tottenham		18.4%
60.6%		21.0%
+370
-114
+340
-120
0
2		-0.64903-0.65036-0.50109
Leicester City
Manchester United		9.4%
75.7%		15.0%
+501
-173
+470
-180
0
3		-0.47351-0.48639-0.27904
Liverpool
Newcastle United		43.5%
29.6%		26.8%
+186
+159
+188
+150
2
0		-1.07125-1.09020-0.83200
Fulham
Brighton and Hove Albion		14.4%
64.5%		21.1%
+520
-175
+515
-185
1
0		-1.84421-1.86240-1.93635
Southampton
Chelsea		7.7%
78.6%		13.7%
+700
-215
+700
-232
1
0		-2.09956-2.12678-2.56512
Leeds United
Everton		19.3%
58.3%		22.3%
+183
+179
+185
+170
0
1		-1.04535-1.02179-0.53911
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest		79.8%
6.6%		13.6%
-287
+1000
-295
+800
1
1		-1.74400-1.75123-1.99348
Bournemouth
Wolverhampton		16.9%
59.9%		23.2%
+386
-119
+375
-120
1
0		-1.60028-1.59974-1.77732
Crystal Palace
Brentford		19.3%
57.0%		23.6%
+377
-119
+385
-125
1
1		-1.33534-1.29496-1.44185
Arsenal
Aston Villa		45.2%
28.8%		26.1%
-109
+345
-122
+355
4
2		-0.66666-0.64177-0.79516
Manchester City
Arsenal		53.1%
22.8%		24.0%
+129
+234
+127
+225
3
1		-0.84774-0.86123-0.63258
Everton
Liverpool		7.5%
78.6%		13.9%
+475
-157
+475
-175
0
2		-0.51273-0.49654-0.24122
Aston Villa
Manchester City		4.5%
85.6%		9.9%
+865
-275
+946
-325
1
3		-0.32098-0.30952-0.15584
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Liverpool (10-1-1, 31 pts)24.66.27.181.161.2%99.2%0.6%0.0%
2Manchester City (7-3-2, 23 pts)23.37.37.477.229.0%96.5%2.5%0.0%
3Arsenal (6-2-4, 22 pts)20.07.710.270.37.1%84.2%8.4%0.0%
4Chelsea (6-2-4, 22 pts)17.89.211.064.51.8%47.9%20.2%0.0%
5Brighton and Hove Albion (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.610.211.261.00.4%24.2%20.0%0.0%
6Tottenham (6-5-1, 19 pts)17.612.48.060.80.2%27.0%17.8%0.0%
7Nottingham Forest (5-3-4, 19 pts)12.214.711.147.70.0%0.6%0.9%3.7%
8Aston Villa (5-3-4, 19 pts)15.011.811.356.20.2%8.2%9.5%0.2%
9Newcastle United (5-4-3, 18 pts)14.812.810.354.80.0%5.3%7.5%0.4%
10Fulham (5-4-3, 18 pts)13.414.510.150.30.0%1.8%2.6%1.6%
11Brentford (5-5-2, 17 pts)12.416.78.946.10.0%0.7%0.4%4.3%
12Manchester United (4-4-4, 16 pts)14.312.511.254.10.1%4.2%8.0%0.6%
13Bournemouth (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.716.110.245.30.0%0.1%0.6%7.4%
14West Ham United (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.616.110.345.20.0%0.0%0.7%8.9%
15Everton (2-5-5, 11 pts)9.616.412.040.70.0%0.1%0.2%24.9%
16Leicester City (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.117.911.038.30.0%0.0%0.0%38.9%
17Wolverhampton (2-7-3, 9 pts)9.718.210.139.20.0%0.0%0.1%32.4%
18Ipswich Town (1-5-6, 9 pts)7.218.112.734.20.0%0.0%0.0%66.6%
19Crystal Palace (1-6-5, 8 pts)9.116.912.139.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.6%
20Southampton (1-10-1, 4 pts)7.922.37.831.60.0%0.0%0.0%79.5%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.