Twins at Nationals

Updated
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
63.4%36.6%
Twins WinNationals Win
4.85Projected Runs 3.44
3Final Score 12
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7

Pitching

Pablo López (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
94-33.931.053

Mitchell Parker (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-23.091.125

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 2-5 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Chris Paddack • CLE: Tanner Bibee+100
L 4-11 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Bailey Ober • CLE: Logan Allen-120
L 2-3 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Simeon Woods Richardson • CLE: Triston McKenzie+116
L 5-0 vs New York YankeesNYY: Clarke Schmidt • MIN: Joe Ryan-112
L 4-0 vs New York YankeesNYY: Marcus Stroman • MIN: Pablo López-130
Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 5-11 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Trevor Williams • PHI: Aaron Nola+205
L 3-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: MacKenzie Gore • PHI: Cristopher Sánchez+155
L 2-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Jake Irvin • PHI: Zack Wheeler+215
L 0-2 at Chicago White SoxWSN: Patrick Corbin • CHW: Garrett Crochet+153
L 0-4 at Chicago White SoxWSN: Mitchell Parker • CHW: Erick Fedde-105

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PBrock Stewart15-day IL
  • -Daniel Duarte60-day IL

Washington Nationals

Status
  • RFLane Thomas10-day IL
  • 2BLuis GarciaUnknown
SE 5 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)79°77°74°71°
Humidity58%62%68%74%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindSE 5 mphSE 6 mphSE 5 mphSSE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-160-152-157-149-148-149-148-141.8
Nationals+147+140+131+137+138+137+140+141.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-160-148-152-156-156-154-148-141.8
Nationals+146+138+139+141+143+139+143+141.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from -174 to -180
Nationals ML moved from +147 to +138

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Nationals: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Twins ML
Nationals ML moved from +144 to +138

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-1½+105-1½+112-1½+105-1½+113-1½+110-1½+113-1½+113-1½+122
Nationals+1½-125+1½-128+1½-125+1½-133+1½-130+1½-133+1½-125+1½-122
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-1½+100-1½+105-1½+112-1½+105-1½+100-1½+105-1½+112-1½+122
Nationals+1½-120+1½-125+1½-130+1½-125+1½-120+1½-125+1½-120+1½-122

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+107o7½-103o7½-110o7½-106o7½-105o7½-106o7½-103o7½+104
Underu8½-127u7½-113u7½-110u7½-114u7½-115u7½-114u7½-110u7½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+105o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o8+105o7½-105o7½-105o7½+104
Underu8½-125u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u8-125u7½-115u8-125u7½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+105 to o8-101
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u8-120 to u7½-115