Royals at Guardians

Updated
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
32.6%67.4%
Royals WinGuardians Win
3.54Projected Runs 5.34
3Final Score 8
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Alec Marsh (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
40-46.21.426

Gavin Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-23.741.307

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 1-5 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Zack Greinke • CLE: Aaron Civale+189
W 5-3 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Ryan Yarbrough • CLE: Logan Allen+185
L 5-8 at New York YankeesKCR: Jordan Lyles • NYY: Luis Severino+175
L 2-5 at New York YankeesKCR: Brady Singer • NYY: Gerrit Cole+220
L 4-5 at New York YankeesKCR: Alec Marsh • NYY: Clarke Schmidt+180
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Zack Greinke • CLE: Aaron Civale-197
L 5-3 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Ryan Yarbrough • CLE: Logan Allen-205
L 8-5 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Aaron Nola • CLE: Xzavion Curry+120
W 0-1 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • CLE: Tanner Bibee+112
W 5-6 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Ranger Suárez • CLE: Gavin Williams+108

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • PDaniel Lynch15-day IL
  • LFEdward OlivaresRest
  • PJosh Taylor60-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • SSAmed RosarioRest
  • DHJosh BellRest
  • PCal Quantrill15-day IL
  • PTriston McKenzie60-day IL
  • PShane Bieber60-day IL
S 11 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
UnknownModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)86°87°88°87°
Humidity57%56%55%60%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindS 11 mphS 12 mphSSW 12 mphSSW 12 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+176+171+166+171+175+171+175+176.6
Guardians-193-185-202-187-185-187-185-176.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+176+180+163+170+172+170+180+176.6
Guardians-195-200-180-205-190-200-180-176.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +180 to +174
No Steam Moves On Guardians ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 70.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +176 to +163
No Steam Moves On Guardians ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-110+1½-113+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-113+1½-104
Guardians-1½-110-1½-103-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½-103-1½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-105+1½-120+1½-118+1½-105+1½-115+1½-115+1½-105+1½-104
Guardians-1½-113-1½+100-1½+100-1½-115-1½-105-1½-105-1½+100-1½+104

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½-105o10-108o10-110o10-105o10-110o10-105o10-105o10+104
Underu10½-115u10-108u10-110u10-115u10-110u10-115u10-108u10-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½-105o10-105o10-105o10-120o10-110o10-105o10-105o10+104
Underu10½-115u10-115u10-115u10+100u10-110u10-115u10+100u10-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-113 to o10-119
The Under moved from u10-110 to u10-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10+105 to o10-110
The Under moved from u10-110 to u10-115