Upcoming Games for May 16, 2025
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox (14-29) Chicago Cubs (25-19) | Shane Smith Cade Horton | 25.0% 75.0% | +213 -219 +200 -215 | +1½+105 -1½-125 | 3.39 6.01 | 9.40 | o11-120 u11+100 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Cleveland Guardians (25-18) Cincinnati Reds (20-24) | Tanner Bibee Brady Singer | 53.5% 46.5% | -120 +115 -117 +112 | -1½+133 +1½-150 -1½+135 +1½-147 | 4.24 3.87 | 8.11 | o9+100 u9-113 o9-105 u9-110 | |||
| Pittsburgh Pirates (15-29) Philadelphia Phillies (25-18) | Andrew Heaney Ranger Suárez | 34.9% 65.1% | +206 -209 +200 -220 | +1½-110 -1½-110 +1½-110 -1½+100 | 3.28 4.85 | 8.13 | o8½-103 u8½-110 o8½-105 u8½-115 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Washington Nationals (18-26) Baltimore Orioles (15-26) | MacKenzie Gore Cade Povich | 46.8% 53.2% | +102 -110 -105 -102 | +1½-203 -1½+180 | 4.31 4.65 | 8.96 | o9-103 u9-110 o9-105 u9-105 | |||
| New York Mets (28-16) New York Yankees (25-18) | Tylor Megill Carlos Rodon | 43.9% 56.1% | +123 -130 +126 -136 | +1½-165 -1½+151 +1½-162 -1½+150 | 3.73 4.36 | 8.09 | o9-103 u9-110 o8½-125 u9-105 | |||
| Detroit Tigers (29-15) Toronto Blue Jays (21-21) | Jack Flaherty Bowden Francis | 55.5% 44.5% | -125 +118 -125 +118 | -1½+130 +1½-145 -1½+135 +1½-150 | 4.34 3.76 | 8.10 | o8½+100 u8½-105 o8½+100 u8½-115 | |||
| Tampa Bay Rays (19-23) Miami Marlins (16-26) | Taj Bradley UNDECIDED UNDECIDED | 54.6% 45.4% | 4.18 3.69 | 7.87 | ||||||
| Atlanta Braves (21-22) Boston Red Sox (22-23) | Chris Sale Garrett Crochet | 46.0% 54.0% | +111 -120 +115 -124 | +1½-200 -1½+176 +1½-195 -1½+175 | 3.53 3.94 | 7.47 | o7½-115 u7½+102 o8-105 u8-115 | |||
| St. Louis Cardinals (24-20) Kansas City Royals (25-20) | Andre Pallante Cole Ragans | 41.2% 58.8% | +137 -145 +138 -150 | +1½-158 -1½+140 +1½-155 -1½+140 | 3.98 4.90 | 8.88 | o8½-108 u8½-108 o8½+100 u8½-115 | |||
| Houston Astros (22-20) Texas Rangers (23-21) | Lance McCullers Nathan Eovaldi | 42.5% 57.5% | +158 -165 +163 -174 | +1½-139 -1½+125 +1½-135 -1½+120 | 3.21 4.00 | 7.21 | o8-105 u8-103 o8-115 u8+100 | |||
| Minnesota Twins (23-20) Milwaukee Brewers (21-23) | Joe Ryan Chad Patrick | 56.3% 43.7% | -105 +101 -108 +100 | -1½+150 +1½-170 -1½+160 +1½-170 | 3.85 3.19 | 7.04 | o7½-110 u7½-103 o7½-115 u7½+100 | |||
| Colorado Rockies (7-36) Arizona Diamondbacks (23-21) | UNDECIDED UNDECIDED Corbin Burnes | 25.6% 74.4% | +320 -390 | 2.73 5.28 | 8.01 | o9½+100 u9½-120 | ||||
| Seattle Mariners (23-19) San Diego Padres (27-15) | Logan Evans Stephen Kolek | 42.2% 57.8% | +135 -145 +132 -152 | +1½-153 -1½+133 +1½-150 -1½+130 | 4.13 4.95 | 9.08 | o8½-118 u8½+102 o8½-120 u8½+100 | |||
| Los Angeles Angels (17-25) Los Angeles Dodgers (28-15) | Jack Kochanowicz Dustin May | 28.1% 71.9% | +252 -285 +250 -285 | +1½+130 -1½-140 +1½+125 -1½-145 | 3.24 5.50 | 8.74 | o9½+102 u9½-118 o9-120 u9+100 | |||
| Oakland Athletics (22-21) San Francisco Giants (25-19) | JP Sears Logan Webb | 33.3% 66.7% | +156 -170 +152 -170 | +1½-150 -1½+130 +1½-150 -1½+130 | 2.61 4.33 | 6.94 | o7-113 u7-103 o7-110 u7-110 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals Atlanta Braves | 41.4% 58.6% | +172 -181 +165 -175 | +1½-128 -1½+120 +1½-135 -1½+120 | 0 3 | -0.45157-0.46561 | -0.53524 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays Boston Red Sox | 44.3% 55.7% | +115 -114 +112 -114 | +1½-185 -1½+172 +1½-190 -1½+175 | 2 1 | -0.76329-0.75581 | -0.81382 | |
| Houston Astros Cleveland Guardians | 51.9% 48.1% | +108 -115 +108 -118 | +1½-197 -1½+175 +1½-192 -1½+175 | 5 2 | -0.74790-0.75417 | -0.65639 | |
| Miami Marlins Toronto Blue Jays | 33.3% 66.7% | +200 -219 +200 -210 | +1½-103 -1½-110 +1½+100 -1½-105 | 15 5 | -1.11828-1.10933 | -1.09919 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates New York Yankees | 41.1% 58.9% | +150 -155 +143 -152 | +1½-143 -1½+130 +1½-145 -1½+130 | 4 2 | -0.92410-0.90249 | -0.88807 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies Washington Nationals | 60.8% 39.2% | -173 +164 -174 +163 | -1½-108 +1½-105 -1½-105 +1½-110 | 1 9 | -0.98318-0.98214 | -0.93530 | |
| Chicago White Sox Detroit Tigers | 36.0% 64.0% | +185 -193 +181 -190 | +1½-115 -1½+110 +1½-118 -1½+110 | 1 4 | -0.42702-0.43383 | -0.44696 | |
| Cincinnati Reds Chicago Cubs | 42.8% 57.2% | +112 -120 +114 -120 | +1½-197 -1½+175 +1½-200 -1½+176 | 0 1 | -0.62315-0.61880 | -0.55778 | |
| San Diego Padres Los Angeles Dodgers | 48.4% 51.6% | -103 +101 -104 -101 | +1½-210 -1½+190 | 2 7 | -0.70304-0.70039 | -0.66114 | |
| Miami Marlins Minnesota Twins | 40.3% 59.7% | +228 -246 +223 -240 | +1½+109 -1½-118 +1½+107 -1½-115 | 8 6 | -1.20357-1.18784 | -0.90981 | |
| Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees | 45.1% 54.9% | +149 -158 +151 -153 | +1½-148 -1½+132 +1½-145 -1½+140 | 1 10 | -0.50428-0.50610 | -0.60033 | |
| Texas Rangers Oakland Athletics | 49.6% 50.4% | +104 -114 +105 -110 | -1½+165 +1½-175 | 2 3 | -0.65243-0.65817 | -0.68488 | |
| St. Louis Cardinals Colorado Rockies | 54.4% 45.6% | -107 -102 -105 +100 | -1½+143 +1½-150 | 8 10 | -0.70492-0.70528 | -0.78612 | |
| Los Angeles Angels Chicago White Sox | 60.0% 40.0% | -127 +121 -130 +124 | -1½+127 +1½-140 -1½+125 +1½-140 | 0 7 | -0.80488-0.81805 | -0.91649 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays Detroit Tigers | 43.6% 56.4% | +142 -149 +149 -151 | +1½-148 -1½+132 +1½-145 -1½+139 | 3 4 | -0.52506-0.51138 | -0.57212 | |
| Kansas City Royals Washington Nationals | 58.0% 42.0% | -160 +154 -157 +158 | -1½-103 +1½-105 -1½+100 +1½-110 | 7 4 | -0.49456-0.49133 | -0.54449 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 6 | 4-2 (0.667) | 0 | -0.58604 | |
| Sportsbooks | 6 | 4-2 (0.667) | 0 | -0.58880 | |
| DRatings | 6 | 4-2 (0.667) | 0 | -0.59093 | -0.00488 -0.00212 |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.