Reds at Cubs

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
44.6%55.4%
Reds WinCubs Win
3.54Projected Runs 4.10
1Final Score 2

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Nick Lodolo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
184-73.751.241

Drew Smyly (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
217-83.481.19

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 1-6 at Chicago CubsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • CHC: Adrian Sampson+147
L 3-4 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Luis Cessa • PIT: Bryse Wilson+108
L 1-4 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Hunter Greene • PIT: Mitch Keller+103
L 3-8 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Chase Anderson • PIT: Roansy Contreras+152
W 1-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • CIN: Nick Lodolo+140
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 1-6 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • CHC: Adrian Sampson-152
W 0-2 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Ranger Suarez • CHC: Javier Assad+165
W 2-4 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Aaron Nola • CHC: Hayden Wesneski+167
W 1-2 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • CHC: Marcus Stroman+151
W 8-3 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Adrian Sampson • PIT: Luis Ortiz+121

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • CFNick SenzelOut for Season
  • PMike MinorUnknown
  • PJustin DunnUnknown
  • DHJake FraleyRest
  • PJeff Hoffman60-day IL
  • 3BMike MoustakasOut for Season

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • LFRafael OrtegaOut for Season
  • PWade MileyQuestionable
  • PJustin SteeleUnknown
  • RFSeiya SuzukiUnknown
  • PDrew SmylyUnknown
  • CP.J. HigginsRest
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL
NNE 13 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterHigh on Under
 
Temp (°F)64°64°64°64°
Humidity64%63%63%65%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNE 13 mphNNE 13 mphNNE 13 mphNNE 13 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+105+124+122+123+123+123+124+126.3
Cubs-115-134-145-133-133-133-133-126.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+112+134+124+118+125+128+134+126.3
Cubs-122-144-136-140-135-138-135-126.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
Cubs ML moved from -115 to -122

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Reds: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 80.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
Cubs ML moved from -130 to -140

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-185+1½-188+1½-185+1½-190+1½-190+1½-190+1½-185+1½-174
Cubs-1½+160-1½+167-1½+160-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+167-1½+174
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-186+1½-185+1½-186+1½-185+1½-190+1½-185+1½-185+1½-174
Cubs-1½+164-1½+165-1½+164-1½+165-1½+170-1½+165-1½+170-1½+174

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-115o6½-103o6½+100o6½-103o6½-103o6½-103o6½+100o6½+104
Underu6½-105u6½-113u6½-120u6½-117u6½-117u6½-117u6½-113u6½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-115o6½-105o6½-105o6½-105o6½-105o6½-105o6½-105o6½+104
Underu6½-105u6½-115u6½-115u6½-115u6½-115u6½-115u6½-115u6½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6½-103 to u6½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6½-105 to u6½-115