Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated 5 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
12/15/2023 08:15 PM	Estrela SC Farense	27.8% 43.5%	28.7%	+265 +110 +245 +110	0 0	-1.29828-1.30328	-1.24935
12/11/2023 08:15 PM	Moreirense Gil Vicente FC	22.7% 50.9%	26.4%	+125 +235 +120 +225	1 1	-1.27272-1.28913	-1.33309
12/10/2023 08:30 PM	Chaves Estoril	19.2% 56.2%	24.6%	+323 -112 +290 -110	0 4	-0.66491-0.69589	-0.57567
12/10/2023 06:00 PM	Rio Ave Arouca	27.7% 42.8%	29.5%	+305 +115 +275 +110	2 2	-1.20035-1.22799	-1.22095
12/10/2023 03:30 PM	Boavista Estrela	30.0% 41.8%	28.2%	+231 +125 +230 +120	1 3	-0.84190-0.83884	-0.87120
12/09/2023 08:30 PM	Casa Pia AC Porto	5.9% 81.3%	12.9%	+1300 -372 +1200 -450	1 3	-0.26398-0.25075	-0.20741
12/09/2023 06:00 PM	Sporting CP Vitoria	60.2% 17.2%	22.6%	-140 +400 -150 +390	2 3	-1.63985-1.63897	-1.76288
12/09/2023 03:30 PM	Famalicao Portimonense	33.5% 37.1%	29.4%	+197 +159 +185 +150	1 1	-1.23001-1.25716	-1.22312
12/08/2023 06:00 PM	SC Farense Benfica	3.2% 87.9%	8.8%	+1475 -524 +1425 -635	1 1	-2.15029-2.14892	-2.42928
12/08/2023 03:30 PM	Braga FC Vizela	56.3% 20.0%	23.7%	-162 +485 -185 +460	3 1	-0.49714-0.48323	-0.57522
12/04/2023 08:15 PM	Gil Vicente FC Sporting CP	5.3% 82.4%	12.3%	+2050 -753 +1700 -750	1 3	-0.15211-0.17605	-0.19396
12/03/2023 08:30 PM	Arouca Boavista	22.4% 51.4%	26.1%	+195 +165 +210 +140	4 0	-1.10836-1.18185	-1.49535
12/03/2023 06:00 PM	Benfica Moreirense	74.7% 9.2%	16.1%	-198 +555 -215 +550	0 0	-1.57022-1.58704	-1.82616
12/03/2023 03:30 PM	Estoril Braga	9.2% 74.3%	16.5%	+560 -236 +600 -265	1 3	-0.38837-0.36963	-0.29730
12/02/2023 08:30 PM	Portimonense Casa Pia AC	20.5% 53.3%	26.2%	+325 -101 +290 -105	0 1	-0.70362-0.72194	-0.62967
12/02/2023 06:00 PM	Porto Famalicao	64.5% 15.1%	20.4%	-204 +640 -210 +625	3 0	-0.43436-0.43886	-0.43869

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).