Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 17, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Famalicao
Benfica 		5.6%
83.0%		11.4%
+1300
-467

0.66
2.91		3.57
o3-116
u3-101

Games for Jan 16, 2025
Games for Jan 18, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Benfica
Rio Ave		69.8%
11.3%		18.8%
-361
+1396
-375
+1100
1
0		-0.27107-0.28648-0.35892
Braga
Chaves		59.7%
17.7%		22.6%
-172
+529
-180
+485
2
1		-0.48405-0.49243-0.51542
Boavista
Maritimo		26.2%
45.6%		28.2%
+239
+137
+245
+120
2
4		-0.88814-0.83924-0.78485
Santa Clara
Sporting CP		4.7%
84.0%		11.3%
+2364
-785
+2250
-1000
0
3		-0.14971-0.14566-0.17412
Pacos
Vitoria		19.4%
56.4%		24.2%
+290
+113
+300
+100
0
0		-1.23729-1.24559-1.41758
Casa Pia AC
FC Vizela		26.4%
47.4%		26.2%
+356
-103
+350
-105
1
3		-0.70956-0.71961-0.74665
Gil Vicente FC
Estoril		33.6%
36.3%		30.1%
+159
+187
+160
+175
0
1		-1.08008-1.06161-1.01250
Famalicao
Boavista		33.0%
38.9%		28.1%
+199
+175
+210
+155
2
1		-1.12196-1.17837-1.10854
Porto
Braga		38.4%
33.6%		28.0%
+130
+233
+120
+230
0
0		-1.28764-1.27418-1.27311
Maritimo
Casa Pia AC		23.0%
50.2%		26.8%
+300
+115
+300
+105
0
2		-0.79365-0.76692-0.68832
Chaves
Estoril		21.9%
52.0%		26.1%
+264
+122
+285
+105
2
0		-1.31714-1.39740-1.51969
Pacos
Arouca		20.5%
54.0%		25.5%
+251
+127
+250
+120
1
1		-1.22837-1.21456-1.36500
Vitoria
Benfica		4.7%
84.6%		10.7%
+1742
-625
+1800
-650
1
5		-0.17540-0.19439-0.16753
FC Vizela
Portimonense		34.0%
36.6%		29.4%
+148
+208
+140
+210
1
0		-0.94323-0.92591-1.07937
Rio Ave
Santa Clara		34.8%
34.3%		30.8%
+200
+183
+205
+160
2
0		-1.12396-1.16533-1.05472
Casa Pia AC
Famalicao		22.4%
53.2%		24.4%
+311
+119
+290
+120
0
1		-0.79627-0.83718-0.63109
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).