Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Braga
Porto
14.9%
64.7%
20.4%
+605
-217
+550
-215
1
2
-0.41399-0.43209-0.43546
Estoril
SC Farense
22.7%
50.2%
27.1%
+260
+117
+260
+115
0
1
-0.81376-0.81482-0.68945
Boavista
Vitoria
10.9%
70.8%
18.3%
+850
-265
+810
-275
2
2
-1.54740-1.61888-1.70024
Casa Pia AC
Sporting CP
4.4%
84.7%
10.8%
+1870
-714
+1600
-800
0
2
-0.16491-0.16940-0.16575
AVS
Arouca
31.5%
38.8%
29.6%
+268
+112
+280
+105
1
1
-1.23069-1.24650-1.21594
Santa Clara
Moreirense
25.9%
46.7%
27.3%
+206
+176
+225
+160
0
1
-1.04976-1.00376-0.76085
Estrela
Gil Vicente FC
22.4%
51.5%
26.0%
+310
-108
+350
-115
0
3
-0.70388-0.67566-0.66264
Famalicao
Rio Ave
27.4%
45.3%
27.3%
+175
+192
+160
+190
1
1
-1.13731-1.18215-1.29689
SC Farense
AVS
25.5%
46.9%
27.7%
+257
+110
+285
+100
0
0
-1.27504-1.28677-1.28439
Rio Ave
Braga
11.1%
70.4%
18.5%
+600
-168
+540
-195
0
4
-0.45893-0.46261-0.35112
Boavista
Santa Clara
19.5%
56.3%
24.1%
+565
-175
+520
-170
0
1
-0.47707-0.51204-0.57424
Arouca
Porto
3.8%
86.0%
10.2%
+1300
-432
+1200
-500
0
4
-0.24150-0.23029-0.15086
Nacional
Famalicao
14.7%
65.3%
20.0%
+460
-135
+425
-145
0
0
-1.33336-1.36956-1.60694
Gil Vicente FC
Benfica
4.0%
86.0%
9.9%
+1475
-480
+1375
-600
1
5
-0.20914-0.20516-0.15069
Vitoria
Casa Pia AC
47.4%
25.6%
26.9%
+103
+316
+100
+320
1
1
-1.22068-1.21251-1.31200
Moreirense
Estrela
34.7%
35.4%
29.8%
+145
+215
+140
+210
1
2
-1.18958-1.18185-1.03713
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).