Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Sporting CP
Estoril
75.9%
8.2%
15.9%
-581
+1600
-600
+1500
3
0
-0.18801-0.20168-0.27533
Benfica
Boavista
76.7%
8.3%
15.0%
-385
+1259
-475
+1175
3
0
-0.23217-0.24033-0.26580
AVS
Sporting CP
4.2%
85.3%
10.5%
+1901
-906
+2000
-1000
0
3
-0.15356-0.14595-0.15911
Arouca
SC Farense
20.8%
52.7%
26.5%
+165
+190
+155
+175
1
0
-0.98819-0.98481-1.57094
Casa Pia AC
Gil Vicente FC
25.0%
47.7%
27.2%
+289
+115
+270
+115
1
1
-1.19508-1.19889-1.30103
Famalicao
Moreirense
25.6%
48.4%
26.0%
+178
+195
+175
+195
0
0
-1.12331-1.11106-1.34746
Porto
Vitoria
46.6%
26.5%
26.9%
-104
+325
-110
+325
3
0
-0.71388-0.69848-0.76336
Estrela
Santa Clara
18.1%
58.2%
23.7%
+435
-130
+400
-130
0
1
-0.59778-0.62021-0.54180
Estoril
Rio Ave
18.0%
57.2%
24.8%
+330
+100
+300
+105
2
2
-1.26674-1.21224-1.39356
Braga
Nacional
64.9%
14.9%
20.2%
-128
+365
-145
+410
3
0
-0.60651-0.57433-0.43260
Boavista
Estrela
27.7%
44.8%
27.5%
+291
+108
+345
-105
2
2
-1.23272-1.21140-1.29098
Vitoria
Braga
21.6%
53.9%
24.5%
+253
+114
+230
+125
2
0
-1.29693-1.24320-1.53063
Nacional
Estoril
23.1%
51.1%
25.8%
+196
+157
+185
+155
0
1
-0.98259-0.98556-0.67211
SC Farense
Porto
4.7%
83.5%
11.8%
+2500
-720
+1900
-750
1
2
-0.15159-0.17396-0.18069
Gil Vicente FC
Famalicao
21.8%
53.4%
24.8%
+327
-102
+335
-115
1
1
-1.25225-1.30203-1.39497
Santa Clara
Benfica
5.0%
83.9%
11.2%
+1002
-357
+1050
-400
1
4
-0.28590-0.27538-0.17585
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).