Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated 2 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
09/14/2024 05:00 PM	Rio Ave AVS	30.9% 39.4%	29.7%	+178 +169 +180 +150	0 1	-1.05025-0.96627	-0.93171
09/14/2024 02:30 PM	Moreirense Casa Pia AC	31.9% 39.1%	29.0%	+171 +201 +165 +180	1 3	-1.12547-1.08028	-0.93971
09/13/2024 07:15 PM	Sporting CP Arouca	77.4% 7.4%	15.2%	-403 +1122 -450 +1050	3 0	-0.25855-0.25259	-0.25673
09/01/2024 07:30 PM	Famalicao Vitoria	17.2% 60.7%	22.1%	+314 +105 +325 -105	1 2	-0.75421-0.71832	-0.49957
09/01/2024 07:30 PM	Braga Gil Vicente FC	56.5% 19.6%	23.9%	-110 +310 -120 +315	0 0	-1.35158-1.38338	-1.43263
09/01/2024 05:00 PM	Arouca Rio Ave	14.1% 63.3%	22.6%	+210 +144 +210 +140	0 1	-0.93130-0.92591	-0.45713
08/31/2024 07:30 PM	Porto Sporting CP	23.5% 51.1%	25.4%	+296 +103 +300 -115	0 2	-0.72697-0.67598	-0.67191
08/31/2024 05:00 PM	Casa Pia AC Estrela	25.7% 47.1%	27.2%	+198 +151 +230 +130	1 0	-1.13184-1.24303	-1.35911
08/31/2024 05:00 PM	Estoril Boavista	28.9% 42.7%	28.4%	+195 +163 +230 +135	0 0	-1.15664-1.18130	-1.25804
08/31/2024 02:30 PM	AVS Santa Clara	15.2% 63.0%	21.8%	+478 -137 +440 -150	1 2	-0.58186-0.56138	-0.46213
08/30/2024 07:15 PM	Benfica Moreirense	69.7% 11.8%	18.5%	-222 +638 -230 +620	1 1	-1.57610-1.58655	-1.68973
08/25/2024 07:30 PM	Moreirense Braga	10.6% 71.8%	17.6%	+378 -137 +395 -150	1 3	-0.58648-0.56154	-0.33112
08/25/2024 07:30 PM	Vitoria AVS	52.0% 22.4%	25.6%	-140 +424 -135 +370	0 1	-1.69843-1.60003	-1.49834
08/25/2024 05:00 PM	Gil Vicente FC Estoril	28.0% 43.3%	28.7%	+149 +208 +150 +200	0 0	-1.20337-1.19696	-1.24831
08/25/2024 02:30 PM	Nacional Arouca	18.7% 57.2%	24.1%	+321 -116 +280 +100	0 1	-0.65805-0.74482	-0.55884
08/24/2024 07:30 PM	Estrela Benfica	3.9% 86.6%	9.5%	+1500 -612 +1550 -600	0 1	-0.20116-0.20397	-0.14439

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).