Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Boavista
Famalicao		17.3%
60.8%		21.9%
+506
-170
+525
-165
0
1		-0.51882-0.52192-0.49809
Rio Ave
Porto		7.1%
77.9%		15.0%
+1050
-387
+1075
-400
0
2		-0.26891-0.27362-0.24989
Santa Clara
Casa Pia AC		31.9%
39.1%		29.0%
+171
+209
+160
+200
2
0		-1.03033-1.00550-1.14325
Sporting CP
SC Farense		72.8%
9.6%		17.6%
-495
+1200
-560
+1200
5
0		-0.22282-0.21348-0.31748
Famalicao
Estrela		28.0%
45.3%		26.7%
+145
+215
+160
+190
3
0		-0.92614-1.00622-1.27275
Braga
Boavista		59.6%
18.0%		22.5%
-161
+440
-200
+510
1
0		-0.53149-0.45462-0.51777
Estoril
Vitoria		12.6%
67.0%		20.3%
+586
-181
+525
-185
0
1		-0.46692-0.48101-0.39979
Arouca
Moreirense		26.1%
45.9%		28.0%
+314
+104
+285
+115
1
3		-0.74714-0.81182-0.77960
Casa Pia AC
Benfica		4.2%
85.7%		10.1%
+1100
-396
+1125
-425
0
3		-0.26011-0.26120-0.15463
Sporting CP
Nacional		84.9%
4.5%		10.5%
-402
+1046
-420
+1000
6
1		-0.26096-0.26469-0.16318
SC Farense
Rio Ave		17.9%
56.9%		25.1%
+296
+112
+280
+100
0
1		-0.76293-0.74482-0.56340
AVS
Gil Vicente FC		50.0%
50.0%		0.0%
+228
+128
+230
+125
2
4		-0.86443-0.86022
Porto
Santa Clara		64.7%
14.4%		20.9%
-130
+377
-135
+330
2
0		-0.58913-0.60684-0.43553
Vitoria
Arouca		34.7%
35.0%		30.3%
+121
+243
+125
+220
1
0		-0.83211-0.86074-1.05814
Estrela
Braga		8.0%
76.9%		15.1%
+569
-225
+575
-225
1
1		-1.57489-1.60784-1.89353
Benfica
Famalicao		74.6%
9.7%		15.7%
-170
+499
-205
+525
0
2		-1.81622-1.88092-2.33811
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).