Watford at Manchester City

Updated

Watford

2.0%6.2%91.8%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.45Projected Goals 3.54
1Final Score 2

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Plymouth Argyle-180
W 0-5 vs Milton Keynes Dons-300
L 3-4 at Stevenage-145
L 2-0 vs Milton Keynes Dons-220
L 3-1 vs Stoke City-120
Manchester City
Money Line
L 0-1 at Newcastle United+125
L 0-2 at Southampton-300
W 2-3 vs Liverpool-160
W 0-2 vs Chelsea-260
L 3-5 at West Ham United-235

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+1329+1916+2000+2000+2000+2000+2000+2129.4
Manchester City-540-828-1000-1200-1200-1200-828-666.3
Draw+693+919+850+1000+1000+1000+1000+1067.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+1700----+2500+2500+2129.4
Manchester City-700-----1100-1100-666.3
Draw+725----+950+950+1067.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Manchester City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +1985 to +1916
Manchester City ML moved from -1111 to -1200

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Manchester City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 40.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +2250 to +2000
Manchester City ML moved from -1000 to -1100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-102o3½-126o3¾-105o3¾-102o3¾-102o3¾-102o3½-126o3¾+107
Underu3½-115u3½+107u3¾-115u3¾-118u3¾-118u3¾-118u3¾-115u3¾-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+100---o3½-135o3½-120o3½-120o3¾+107
Underu3½-120---u3½+105u3½+100u3½+105u3¾-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-115 to o3½-135
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes34.9%
 
No65.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.86%
Exactly 214.75%
Exactly 419.54%
Exactly 610.35%
Exactly 82.94%
Exactly 100.52%
 
Exactly 17.40%
Exactly 319.60%
Exactly 515.58%
Exactly 75.89%
Exactly 91.30%
Exactly 110.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 064.06%
Exactly 128.53%
Exactly 26.35%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 02.90%
Exactly 110.26%
Exactly 218.17%
Exactly 321.45%
Exactly 418.99%
Exactly 513.45%
Exactly 67.94%
Exactly 74.01%
Exactly 81.78%
Exactly 90.70%
Exactly 100.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 015.79%
Exactly 226.90%
Exactly 47.64%
Exactly 60.87%
 
Exactly 129.15%
Exactly 316.55%
Exactly 52.82%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 081.37%
Exactly 116.78%
Exactly 21.73%
Exactly 30.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 019.41%
Exactly 131.82%
Exactly 226.08%
Exactly 314.25%
Exactly 45.84%
Exactly 51.92%
Exactly 60.52%
Exactly 70.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals0.34%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals78.39%
Wins by 3+ goals59.29%
Wins by 4+ goals39.20%
Wins by 5+ goals22.65%
Wins by 6+ goals11.50%
Wins by 7+ goals5.16%
Wins by 8+ goals2.03%
Wins by 9+ goals0.68%
Wins by 10+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Manchester City
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Watford
Wins by 1 goal1.67%
Wins by 2 goals0.30%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal13.31%
Wins by 2 goals19.10%
Wins by 3 goals20.09%
Wins by 4 goals16.54%
Wins by 5 goals11.15%
Wins by 6 goals6.35%
Wins by 7 goals3.13%
Wins by 8 goals1.35%
Wins by 9 goals0.52%
Wins by 10 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.14%1.86%
1.590.74%9.26%
2.575.99%24.01%
3.556.38%43.62%
4.536.85%63.15%
5.521.27%78.73%
6.510.92%89.08%
7.55.03%94.97%
8.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.535.94%64.06%
1.57.41%92.59%
2.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.10%2.90%
1.586.84%13.16%
2.568.67%31.33%
3.547.22%52.78%
4.528.23%71.77%
5.514.78%85.22%
6.56.85%93.15%
7.52.84%97.16%
8.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.21%15.79%
1.555.06%44.94%
2.528.16%71.84%
3.511.62%88.38%
4.53.98%96.02%
5.51.16%98.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Manchester City
Score012345
0
1.86%
6.58%
11.64%
13.74%
12.16%
8.61%
1
0.83%
2.93%
5.18%
6.12%
5.42%
3.84%
2
0.18%
0.65%
1.15%
1.36%
1.21%
0.85%
Watford
1-00.83%
2-00.18%
2-10.65%
Draw
0-01.86%
1-12.93%
2-21.15%
3-30.20%
Manchester City
0-16.58%
0-211.64%
1-25.18%
0-313.74%
1-36.12%
2-31.36%
0-412.16%
1-45.42%
2-41.21%
3-40.18%
0-58.61%
1-53.84%
2-50.85%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Manchester City
Score0123456
0
15.79%
25.89%
21.22%
11.60%
4.75%
1.56%
0.43%
1
3.26%
5.34%
4.38%
2.39%
0.98%
0.32%
0.09%
2
0.34%
0.55%
0.45%
0.25%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Watford
1-03.26%
2-00.34%
2-10.55%
Draw
0-015.79%
1-15.34%
2-20.45%
Manchester City
0-125.89%
0-221.22%
1-24.38%
0-311.60%
1-32.39%
2-30.25%
0-44.75%
1-40.98%
2-40.10%
0-51.56%
1-50.32%
0-60.43%