English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 25, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
West Ham United
Newcastle United 		16.8%
61.8%		21.3%
+595
-205
+575
-215
0.91
1.96		2.87
o3-112
u3-101
o3-105
u3+100
Games for Nov 24, 2024
Games for Nov 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Brighton and Hove Albion
Nottingham Forest		48.1%
25.0%		26.8%
+109
+275
+105
+265
3
2		-0.75609-0.75664-0.73104
Bournemouth
Sheffield United		39.4%
31.5%		29.1%
+118
+245
+115
+250
3
1		-0.80914-0.80535-0.93168
Crystal Palace
Luton Town		57.7%
18.6%		23.7%
+106
+300
+105
+290
1
2		-1.41543-1.39861-1.68405
Chelsea
Newcastle United		33.2%
38.6%		28.1%
+160
+173
+157
+165
1
4		-1.03260-1.02160-0.95106
West Ham United
Burnley		37.5%
33.9%		28.5%
+120
+250
+115
+240
2
1		-0.81731-0.81340-0.97990
Liverpool
Manchester City		19.8%
57.6%		22.6%
+367
-140
+340
-140
1
1		-1.49179-1.50090-1.48532
Manchester City
Chelsea		49.1%
25.3%		25.6%
-130
+375
-135
+375
4
4		-1.41169-1.41116-1.36336
Nottingham Forest
West Ham United		10.4%
72.0%		17.5%
+380
-124
+360
-130
2
3		-0.61278-0.61865-0.32803
Brentford
Liverpool		5.8%
82.4%		11.9%
+665
-260
+670
-270
0
3		-0.35959-0.35955-0.19399
Sheffield United
Brighton and Hove Albion		8.2%
75.7%		16.0%
+990
-361
+1000
-400
1
1		-1.89999-1.89565-1.82977
Fulham
Aston Villa		17.8%
60.2%		22.0%
+425
-149
+440
-160
1
3		-0.53471-0.52902-0.50730
Newcastle United
Bournemouth		50.6%
24.0%		25.4%
-105
+305
-108
+305
0
2		-1.42420-1.43100-1.42799
Luton Town
Manchester United		5.1%
83.5%		11.4%
+890
-327
+900
-350
0
1		-0.29582-0.29888-0.18005
Everton
Crystal Palace		20.8%
54.8%		24.3%
+197
+167
+205
+155
3
2		-1.11685-1.15195-1.56902
Burnley
Arsenal		9.4%
74.3%		16.3%
+1555
-475
+1500
-515
1
3		-0.22000-0.21834-0.29655
Tottenham
Wolverhampton		44.2%
29.2%		26.6%
+130
+216
+125
+210
1
2		-1.18296-1.17157-1.23069
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Liverpool (9-1-1, 28 pts)24.36.57.280.252.6%98.5%0.8%0.0%
2Manchester City (7-2-2, 23 pts)23.66.67.878.640.9%98.5%1.0%0.0%
3Chelsea (5-2-4, 19 pts)17.49.411.263.40.9%47.8%19.1%0.0%
4Arsenal (5-2-4, 19 pts)19.58.010.569.15.0%79.9%9.3%0.0%
5Nottingham Forest (5-2-4, 19 pts)12.714.211.249.20.0%1.2%1.8%2.2%
6Brighton and Hove Albion (5-2-4, 19 pts)16.010.611.459.40.2%19.5%15.1%0.0%
7Fulham (5-3-3, 18 pts)13.713.810.451.70.0%4.2%4.4%2.0%
8Newcastle United (5-3-3, 18 pts)15.112.210.656.00.1%8.8%10.7%0.3%
9Aston Villa (5-3-3, 18 pts)15.312.010.656.60.0%11.1%9.2%0.0%
10Tottenham (5-5-1, 16 pts)16.912.88.459.00.3%20.5%16.2%0.0%
11Brentford (5-5-1, 16 pts)12.816.88.446.90.0%0.5%1.3%4.8%
12Manchester United (4-4-3, 15 pts)14.912.710.455.10.0%8.9%9.2%0.4%
13Bournemouth (4-4-3, 15 pts)11.915.610.546.10.0%0.4%1.3%6.8%
14West Ham United (3-5-3, 12 pts)11.116.310.543.90.0%0.1%0.2%12.1%
15Everton (2-5-4, 10 pts)9.717.011.240.40.0%0.0%0.2%25.6%
16Leicester City (2-5-4, 10 pts)9.317.611.238.90.0%0.0%0.1%33.6%
17Ipswich Town (1-5-5, 8 pts)7.518.611.934.40.0%0.0%0.0%63.7%
18Crystal Palace (1-6-4, 7 pts)9.417.011.539.80.0%0.1%0.0%27.5%
19Wolverhampton (1-7-3, 6 pts)8.918.510.537.30.0%0.0%0.1%43.9%
20Southampton (1-9-1, 4 pts)7.921.88.232.10.0%0.0%0.0%77.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.