English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 25, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
West Ham United
Newcastle United 		16.8%
61.8%		21.3%
+550
-200
+575
-215
0.91
1.96		2.87
o3-120
u3+118
o3-120
u3+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 24, 2024
Games for Nov 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Chelsea
Tottenham		29.8%
44.1%		26.1%
+202
+132
+205
+130
4
1		-1.13716-1.15255-1.20962
Liverpool
Luton Town		83.4%
5.2%		11.3%
-480
+1250
-520
+1250
1
1		-2.10579-2.09419-2.17657
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest		50.0%
24.2%		25.8%
-108
+295
-110
+300
0
2		-1.40535-1.42599-1.41911
Arsenal
Newcastle United		32.7%
40.0%		27.3%
+172
+180
+173
+170
0
1		-1.05976-1.03665-0.91602
Wolverhampton
Sheffield United		49.9%
23.0%		27.1%
-113
+325
-115
+315
1
2		-1.47889-1.47172-1.47024
Bournemouth
Manchester City		3.2%
88.4%		8.3%
+2450
-941
+2650
-1150
1
6		-0.13449-0.11910-0.12295
Brighton and Hove Albion
Everton		32.3%
39.9%		27.7%
+150
+188
+144
+190
1
1		-1.29543-1.30265-1.28222
Crystal Palace
Burnley		35.0%
35.1%		29.9%
+136
+240
+135
+240
2
0		-0.88855-0.89578-1.05065
West Ham United
Brentford		34.2%
37.9%		28.0%
+240
+115
+245
+112
2
3		-0.79813-0.78632-0.97135
Manchester United
Fulham		46.2%
27.5%		26.2%
+136
+206
+135
+210
1
0		-0.88286-0.88768-0.77154
Manchester City
Manchester United		56.7%
20.3%		23.0%
-163
+450
-160
+450
3
0		-0.50685-0.52579-0.56782
Luton Town
Aston Villa		7.3%
78.7%		14.0%
+775
-280
+775
-313
1
3		-0.33311-0.31805-0.23963
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool		3.4%
87.7%		8.9%
+1150
-420
+1050
-450
0
3		-0.24076-0.24563-0.13120
Fulham
Brighton and Hove Albion		18.6%
58.5%		22.9%
+450
-163
+450
-170
1
1		-1.51009-1.50171-1.47482
Everton
West Ham United		19.4%
58.0%		22.6%
+260
+110
+269
+105
1
0		-1.30486-1.34155-1.63763
Newcastle United
Wolverhampton		38.7%
32.4%		28.9%
-108
+319
-122
+330
2
2		-1.36555-1.39877-1.24181
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Liverpool (9-1-1, 28 pts)24.36.57.280.252.6%98.5%0.8%0.0%
2Manchester City (7-2-2, 23 pts)23.66.67.878.640.9%98.5%1.0%0.0%
3Chelsea (5-2-4, 19 pts)17.49.411.263.40.9%47.8%19.1%0.0%
4Arsenal (5-2-4, 19 pts)19.58.010.569.15.0%79.9%9.3%0.0%
5Nottingham Forest (5-2-4, 19 pts)12.714.211.249.20.0%1.2%1.8%2.2%
6Brighton and Hove Albion (5-2-4, 19 pts)16.010.611.459.40.2%19.5%15.1%0.0%
7Fulham (5-3-3, 18 pts)13.713.810.451.70.0%4.2%4.4%2.0%
8Newcastle United (5-3-3, 18 pts)15.112.210.656.00.1%8.8%10.7%0.3%
9Aston Villa (5-3-3, 18 pts)15.312.010.656.60.0%11.1%9.2%0.0%
10Tottenham (5-5-1, 16 pts)16.912.88.459.00.3%20.5%16.2%0.0%
11Brentford (5-5-1, 16 pts)12.816.88.446.90.0%0.5%1.3%4.8%
12Manchester United (4-4-3, 15 pts)14.912.710.455.10.0%8.9%9.2%0.4%
13Bournemouth (4-4-3, 15 pts)11.915.610.546.10.0%0.4%1.3%6.8%
14West Ham United (3-5-3, 12 pts)11.116.310.543.90.0%0.1%0.2%12.1%
15Everton (2-5-4, 10 pts)9.717.011.240.40.0%0.0%0.2%25.6%
16Leicester City (2-5-4, 10 pts)9.317.611.238.90.0%0.0%0.1%33.6%
17Ipswich Town (1-5-5, 8 pts)7.518.611.934.40.0%0.0%0.0%63.7%
18Crystal Palace (1-6-4, 7 pts)9.417.011.539.80.0%0.1%0.0%27.5%
19Wolverhampton (1-7-3, 6 pts)8.918.510.537.30.0%0.0%0.1%43.9%
20Southampton (1-9-1, 4 pts)7.921.88.232.10.0%0.0%0.0%77.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.