MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 14, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Cubs (11-7)
San Diego Padres (13-3)
Jameson Taillon
Dylan Cease
42.0%
58.0%
+130
-138
+132
-135
+1½-163
-1½+153
+1½-165
-1½+157
3.96
4.80
8.76
o7-120
u7+107
o7-120
u7½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Colorado Rockies (3-12)
Los Angeles Dodgers (11-6)
Antonio Senzatela
Dustin May
22.3%
77.7%
+302
-325
+305
-325
+1½+140
-1½-153
+1½+150
-1½-148
2.60
5.53
8.13
o8½-110
u8½-103
o8½-110
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Apr 13, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Washington Nationals (6-9)
Pittsburgh Pirates (5-11)
36.3%
63.7%
+179
-189
+177
-190
+1½-116
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+110
7.73
o7½-113
u7½+100
o7½-110
u7½+105
9th
TOP
3
10
San Francisco Giants (11-4)
Philadelphia Phillies (9-6)
47.0%
53.0%
+100
-105
-101
-108

+1½-200
-1½+180
9.12
o9-108
u9-105
o8½-115
u9-110
8th
BOT
8
4
Kansas City Royals (8-8)
New York Yankees (8-7)
43.4%
56.6%
+129
-135
+130
-137
+1½-157
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+140
8.18
o9-108
u9-105
o9-105
u9-110
8th
TOP
1
4
Boston Red Sox (8-9)
Tampa Bay Rays (7-8)
48.3%
51.7%
+106
-115
+108
-113
+1½-180
-1½+167
+1½-170
-1½+185
7.49
o8½-113
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
6th
BOT
1
15
Atlanta Braves (4-11)
Toronto Blue Jays (9-7)
48.0%
52.0%
-116
+109
-113
+107
-1½+147
+1½-156
-1½+145
+1½-160
8.65
o8½-115
u8½+102
o8½-115
u8½+105
8th
BOT
8
1
New York Mets (10-5)
Minnesota Twins (5-11)
45.6%
54.4%
+104
-109
+105
-110
+1½-200
-1½+182
+1½-190
-1½+180
7.70
o7½-115
u7½+102
o8+105
u8-115
5th
BOT
1
0
Detroit Tigers (9-6)
Milwaukee Brewers (8-8)
53.7%
46.3%
-159
+151
-162
+155
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-120
7.64
o7-115
u7½-123
o7-120
u7½-120
6th
TOP
9
0
Houston Astros (7-8)
St. Louis Cardinals (7-8)
50.4%
49.6%
-107
+102
-102
-102
-1½+157
+1½-172

7.44
o7-113
u7+105
o7-115
u7+100
5th
BOT
0
4

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Dodgers
35.8%
64.2%
+200
-218
+215
-225
+1½+112
-1½-115
+1½+115
-1½-115
4
2
-1.11731-1.15712-1.02658
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
47.0%
53.0%
+133
-138
+126
-135
+1½-179
-1½+167
+1½-190
-1½+175
1
3
-0.55399-0.57111-0.63499
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
31.1%
68.9%
+215
-223
+215
-240
+1½-103
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-110
0
6
-0.37831-0.37138-0.37273
Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks
46.5%
53.5%
+103
-111
+101
-110

+1½-200
-1½+182
2
5
-0.66083-0.66771-0.62465
New York Mets
Oakland Athletics
55.1%
44.9%
-138
+130
-137
+130
-1½+118
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-135
8
0
-0.55953-0.56084-0.59575
Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals
62.6%
37.4%
-160
+152
-163
+155
-1½+105
+1½-116
-1½+100
+1½-115
0
7
-0.93639-0.94794-0.98291
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
49.2%
50.8%
+101
-107
+100
+101
+1½-200
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+185
1
5
-0.67421-0.69565-0.67792
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
40.3%
59.7%
+147
-155
+145
-153
+1½-145
-1½+132
+1½-148
-1½+130
3
7
-0.51046-0.51577-0.51599
Boston Red Sox
Chicago White Sox
66.9%
33.1%
-225
+207
-230
+210
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+115
3
1
-0.38560-0.38037-0.40184
Atlanta Braves
Tampa Bay Rays
54.5%
45.5%
-162
+153
-160
+155
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-115
3
8
-0.94171-0.94358-0.78658
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
50.1%
49.9%
-134
+126
-140
+131
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
4
2
-0.57251-0.55511-0.69213
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
35.5%
64.5%
+163
-173
+165
-173
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-140
-1½+122
0
4
-0.47002-0.46718-0.43843
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
60.1%
39.9%
-135
+137
-147
+145
-1½+127
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
4
11
-0.85930-0.89938-0.91854
San Francisco Giants
New York Yankees
44.7%
55.3%
+106
-115
+108
-115
+1½-188
-1½+175
+1½-205
-1½+180
5
4
-0.74282-0.74790-0.80470
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
47.3%
52.7%
+121
-129
+124
-127
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+160
7
6
-0.80867-0.81236-0.74832
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
42.0%
58.0%
+128
-132
+128
-138
+1½-173
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+155
2
9
-0.57146-0.56328-0.54438
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.