MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 1, 2024

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Yankees (94-68)
Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64)
Unknown
Unknown
46.0%
54.0%




4.16
4.59
8.75


Games for Oct 31, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64)
New York Yankees (94-68)
49.0%
51.0%
+131
-139
+135
-140
+1½-148
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+140
8.72
o8½+102
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-105
8th
BOT
7
6

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees
45.8%
54.2%
+120
-128
+124
-125
+1½-165
-1½+157
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
11
-0.59314-0.58976-0.61284
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees
43.1%
56.9%
+133
-139
+134
-139
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-145
-1½+140
4
2
-0.85658-0.85906-0.84155
New York Yankees
Los Angeles Dodgers
44.5%
55.5%
+124
-131
+124
-129
+1½-161
-1½+157
+1½-165
-1½+150
2
4
-0.58066-0.58361-0.58960
New York Yankees
Los Angeles Dodgers
44.9%
55.1%
+108
-114
+110
-110
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+175
3
6
-0.64318-0.64663-0.59664
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
47.2%
52.8%
+135
-143
+140
-144
+1½-135
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+131
5
10
-0.54412-0.53416-0.63783
New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians
47.3%
52.7%
-126
+118
-125
+118
-1½+135
+1½-143
-1½+135
+1½-150
5
2
-0.60037-0.60195-0.74843
New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians
51.3%
48.7%
-114
+109
-115
+110
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-146
8
6
-0.64090-0.63673-0.66742
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
53.0%
47.0%
-124
+116
-123
+120
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-140
6
12
-0.78651-0.79454-0.75417
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
52.9%
47.1%
-128
+119
-127
+120
-1½+130
+1½-143
-1½+135
+1½-150
10
2
-0.59519-0.59470-0.63624
New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians
54.9%
45.1%
-103
-106
-105
+102

-1½+160
+1½-165
5
7
-0.68615-0.71031-0.79545
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
46.4%
53.6%
-104
-102
-102
+102
-1½+160
+1½-168
-1½+160
+1½-170
8
0
-0.68838-0.68330-0.76731
Cleveland Guardians
New York Yankees
44.2%
55.8%
+151
-161
+151
-160
+1½-145
-1½+132
+1½-154
-1½+135
3
6
-0.49827-0.49921-0.58422
Cleveland Guardians
New York Yankees
39.0%
61.0%
+151
-158
+151
-160
+1½-143
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
2
5
-0.50112-0.49921-0.49467
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
45.7%
54.3%
+139
-145
+140
-148
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-160
-1½+147
7
3
-0.88150-0.88882-0.78412
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
44.0%
56.0%
+143
-153
+145
-155
+1½-148
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+135
0
9
-0.51909-0.51371-0.57937
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
53.3%
46.7%
-102
+101
-110
+104
-1½+163
+1½-173
-1½+165
+1½-180
3
7
-0.70059-0.72685-0.76096
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.